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<br />822 JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY VOLUME 27 <br /> 5 (0) (d) 5 <br /> 4 4 <br /> 3 3 <br /> 2 2 <br /> 30 January 1986 ~ <br /> uac - u 0 <br /> 0 <br /> (e) " <br /> '. <br /> _-1Jl '--'2 ......'4" <br /> 8- - ""'/-?-- <br /> 4 - - - 4 <br /> --6- -- <br />E <br />~ 3 <br /> 3 <br />I- <br />:I: 2 <br />(!) 2 <br />w <br />:I: 1 <br /> 0 0 <br /> 5 (c) (f) 5 <br /> 4 ;;;;,-0 4 <br /> 3 3 <br /> 2 --... c... 2 <br /> 2 (p~ <br /> 3 February 1986 3 February 1986 <br /> v com ponen! vac-v <br /> 0 0 <br /> 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 <br /> DISTANCE (km) <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />FIG. 8. (a) Calculated (solid) and aircraft measured (dashed) u-component of the wind (m S-I) on 30 January 1986; (b) <br />as in a, but for v-component; (c) as in a, but for v-component on 3 February; (d) graphical subtraction (measured- <br />calculated) of fields in panel a; (e) graphical subtraction of fields in panel b; (f) graphical subtraction of fields in panel c. <br /> <br />periments, errors in the u-component were less than 4 <br />m S-I throughout the 100 km domain from the base <br />of the Sierra Nevada to the crestline. In most locations <br />within this region, errors were <2 m S-I. The primary <br />exception to the quoted error values occurred in regions <br />of strong vertical shear. The magnitude of the velocities <br />within shear zones was normally reproduced closely, <br />but the location of the shear zone was sometimes dis- <br />placed upward or downward a few hundred meters in <br />altitude. This displacement typically resulted in a nar- <br />row region of larger errors. Such a region is evident <br />between 4 and 5 km altitude in Figs. 8a and d. The <br />largest error in any experiment (-10 m S-I) occurred <br />within such a shear zone. In almost all cases, these <br />zones of higher shear were above the seeding altitude <br />and had no effect on the calculated particle trajectories. <br />The v-component of the wind typically was maxi- <br />mum within the core of the barrier jet (Parish 1982) <br />approximately I km above the lower Sierra Nevada <br />foothills. Figure 8b shows a typical barrier jet profile <br /> <br />measured by the aircraft and calculated for targeting. <br />Figure 8e shows the error analysis of these fields. Under <br />conditions when the barrier jet decreased linearly to- <br />ward the barrier crest, errors in the calculated v-com- <br />ponent were minimized. This was the case on 30 Jan- <br />uary, where errors were generally 2-4 m S-l throughout <br />the seeded volume. Contrast this profile with that mea- <br />sured on 3 February 1986 (Fig. 8c). In this case, the <br />jet extended further into the lower foothills than would <br />have been anticipated based on a linear interpolation <br />between the Sheridan and Kingvale soundings. As a <br />result, a narrow core oflarger errors (Fig. 8f) was located <br />over the lower foothills. Errors in the v-component <br />were generally highest in this region. <br />The target was designed so that the sampling site, <br />Kingvale, would be at the center of the area on the <br />ground where seeding effects should have occurred. <br />However, errors in the calculated wind field would shift <br />the center of the predicted fallout area away from the <br />target. An estimate of the magnitude of this shift was <br /> <br />