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<br />, ... <br /> <br />f. Assumptions Made by tbe Recent Studies <br /> <br />Each of the recent water supply studies draw <br />their conclusions primarily in terms of the resolution of <br />compact issues presented in Part B of the above table. That <br />is, the Upper Basin is held to Article III(d) despite the <br />mutual mistake on virgin flowSi is stuck with one half of the <br />Mexico Burden, even if Lower Basin consumption exceeds its <br />entitlementi but the Upper Basin is not required to make up <br />for delivery losses between Lee Ferry and the Mexico border. <br />Each of these studies, however, recognize the volatile nature <br />of these assumptions and qualify their conclusions accor- <br />dingly. In analyzing the configuration of assumptions shown <br />in Part B above, the Colorado DNR, for example, is very care- <br />ful to point out that these assumptions were made only for <br />the purpose of analysis and that they do not represent the <br />official position of any Colorado River Basin state or of the <br />federal government. <br /> <br />3. Curtailment of the Lower Basin Under the 1968 <br />Colorado River Basin Project Act <br /> <br />a. Congressional Recognition of Basin-wide <br />Deficiencies <br /> <br />In 1968, the u.s. Congress openly recognized <br />that the virgin yield of the Colorado River was insufficient <br />to meet basin-wide demands, and that any significant increase <br />in the use of Colorado River mainstem flows by the Lower <br />Basin could infringe on projected water demands in the Upper <br />Basin: <br /> <br />All of the studies indicate the presence <br />of a serious water deficiency in the <br />Lower Basin of the Colorado Riveri in <br />fact, they show that a real crisis is <br />being faced by Arizona, southern <br />California, and Nevada. Even in the <br />Upper Basin the remaining Colorado River <br />water is fast being exhausted as devel- <br />opment goes forward. <br /> <br />All of the studies show conclusively that <br />any large increase in use of water in the <br />Lower Basin must, even now, be supplied <br />in part from water apportioned by the <br />Colorado River Compact to the Upper Basin <br />states but presently unused by them. As <br />the Upper Basin states progress with <br />their development, the amount of unused <br />water wil1 diminish until ultimately no <br />surplus Upper Basin water will be <br />available for use in the Lower Basin. <br /> <br />..=::. .. <br />. ' ~ <br /> <br />-16- <br />