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<br />,. <br /> <br />1. <br /> <br />of the U.S. Forest Service are of this sort. A transect study of vegetational gradients across the <br />High Plains is in prospect. <br />Issues related to direct effects on animals appear to be tractable on a project-by-project basis, <br />and they are being approached this way in the Sierra Cooperative Pilot Project. The small number <br />of species considered important by the conference and the existence of game-management <br />alternatives suggest the limited nature of the practical problems involved. <br />As we examine the data delivered to us by the socioeconomic group, we find that the items <br />focus around concem for the sociology of the investigative and innovative process in which <br />Skywater is engaged. It is clear that our advisers wish us well, and they would like to help us <br />change for the better the institutional setting within which we are striving to develop the <br />technologies of snowpack augmentation and summer-convective shower management. We shall <br />heed well what they have said, though how we may translate it into action remains uncertain. <br />There are certain modes of action within a bureaucracy that can prove embarrassingly <br />self-limiting. <br />What we have sought and not found is some indi,cation of the impact that widespread and <br />prolonged precipitation management might have, through more or less well understood processes, <br />on the structure and functioning of societal and economic institutions viewed as components of <br />the total environment, whether we or others were to be the agents of innovation but definitely <br />presuming that application will not be our function. In this lack we see four possible answers. <br />Perhaps, despite the clarity and prominence with which the NSF Special Commission raised the <br />problem more than a decade ago, we faned to express our concern for it in an adequate way. Or <br />perhaps the workshop group, in its eagerness to be helpful and its conviction that what it had to <br />say about institutional arrangements for research are important, did not hear the need we <br />expressed. Or perhaps there simply is no adequate basis for presuming that precipitation <br />management will upset any of the existing societal or economic institutions. Finally, there may <br />be concern for the impact of weather modification but no way of getting at it within the present <br />state-of-the-art. The Special Commission's question is still on the table, and we shall still look for <br />a way of dealing with it. <br />The issue of seeding agents clearly is taking on a new perspective. Always precautionary rather <br />than substantive in nature, the issue has now boiled down to investigation of possible <br />concentration processes operating in nature-chemically, physically, or biologically -that might <br />locally increase the availability of silver. It is also clear that the best setting for undertaking the <br />field phases of such studies will be where there have been releases of silver into the environment <br />on a vastly larger scale than any resulting from cloud seeding, that is, releases from industrial <br />processes and through the use of silver-bearing fertilizers. Thus, while weather modification may <br />continue to be the issue that keeps silver in the spotlight, the potential environmental impacts, if <br />any, will arise otherwise. These conclusions are quite in keeping with the messages received. The <br />efforts at silver monitoring have discovered large fluctuations in background levels of silver <br />without identifying any component attributable to cloud seeding. No field evidence of any effect <br />of silver on an organism has been found, whether from natural or anthropogenic origins, nor in <br />areas having natural silver concentrations many orders of magnitude greater than average, except <br />possibly within a few meters of a ground-based smoke generator. Neither the Environmental <br />Protection Agency nor the Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, having documented the <br />long-continued dispersal of silver into the environme:nt from industrial and fertilizer sources at <br /> <br />27 <br />