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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:37:35 PM
Creation date
4/16/2008 11:05:03 AM
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Weather Modification
Project Name
Project Skywater
Title
Precipitation Management and the Environment - An Overview of the Skywater IX Conference
Date
9/1/1977
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />SUMMARY REPORTS OF WORKING GROUPS <br /> <br />Abiotic Processes (Dr. Charles F. Leaf, Convener) <br /> <br />The abiotics group developed the analytical framework shown in figure 1 to show the <br />interactions that relate events at the atmospheric level (precipitation) to those occurring at the <br />terrestrial level (microclimate, erosion, avalanches, and water yield) and on down to the aquatic <br />level (fluvial geomorphology and water quality). The line weight of the interconnecting arrows <br />shows not how strong the linkages are but how well understood they are. A sensitivity matrix was <br />prepared showing, for each of these abiotic events, the settings wherein they are most important, <br />the processes through which they operate, and the magnitude of the expected response to <br />prolonged precipitation augmentation. Figure 2, an abridgement from the group's report, shows <br />the portion of the matrix for which detectable responses were expected, given a prolonged <br />precipitation augmentation of 20 percent, together with an estimate of the state-of-the-art with <br />respect to measurement of the responses. <br />This matrix suggests that, when all forms of response are considered, alpine areas will show the <br />most readily detectable responses to precipitation management. This assessment of alpine <br />response requires clarification, however, since the assessment by the abiotics group ~as at <br />variance on this point with the San Juan Ecology Study. The San Juan study showed surface <br />erosion, mass wasting, and consequent effects on water quality and fluvial sediment yield to be <br />mostly associated with summer showery rainfall, which is not affected by the winter cloud <br />seeding. After further discussion with Dr. Leaf, it became obvious that, if the assessment were <br />restricted to winter snowpack augmentation, the expected response in the above-mentioned <br />categories with 20 percent augmentation would be less detectable. This would then leave forests <br />as perhaps both the largest and most important setting in which responses of erosion, channel <br />processes, and sediment yield to winter snowpack augmentation might be detectable and <br />sometimes important. For summertime shower augmentation, the agricultural setting claims this <br />preeminence and is also the setting in which the state of the measurement art is most advanced. <br />Among the environmental issues, those of water yield and fluvial geomorphology are expected <br />to show the most readily detectable responses in the largest number of settings, followed by mass <br />wasting. However, with 20 percent augmentation this prominence would be weakened if summer <br />shower augmentation in alpine settings were stricken from consideration. It should be noted that <br />in those areas having unstable or sensitive stream channels, responses in fluvial geomorphology <br />can be detected with 20 percent augmentation-regardless of setting. All the other issues have <br />remarkably even scores, In general, the state-of-the-art of understanding is seen as weakest in <br />avalanches, snow duration, erosion, sediment yield, and chemical water quality; and strongest in <br />water yield and physical water quality. <br />The abiotics group recommended that quantification of impacts on abiotic components should <br />proceed by further application of the principles and analytical framework it had arrived at, and <br />that these same factors should guide the selection of research priorities as shown in the sensitivity <br />matrix. They also recommended that the interfaces between abiotic components and other <br />components such as vegetation should be pursued through further development of the same <br />analytic approach, <br /> <br />4 <br /> <br />-;1 <br /> <br />, <br />
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