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<br />APRIL 1995 <br /> <br />MEYERS ET AL. <br /> <br />845 <br /> <br />the peak precipitation rates in the seeded run were 1.0- <br />l.5 mm h-I (not shown). <br /> <br />5. Summary and conclusions <br /> <br />This study has described numerical studies of a <br />seeded orographic precipitation event, with particular <br />detail to implementing explicit ice initiation by artificial <br />ice nucleus aerosols into mesoscale models. In this ef- <br />fort, the results from laboratory studies at CSU <br />(DeMott 1990, 1994) were parameterized, quantifying <br />four ice nucleation mechanisms for the seeding aerosols <br />used in SCPP. Parameterizations were first imple- <br />mented in a microphysical parcel model compare to <br />DeMott's detailed descriptions of artificial ice forma- <br />tion processes for a representative seeded orographic <br />cloud parcel. Excellent agreement was found. These <br />experiments also indicated that condensation-freezing <br />and deposition nucleation should initially dominate <br />artificial nucleation, with contact-freezing nucleation <br />becoming dominant during parcel ascent and cooling <br />at later times. The contribution of immersion-freezing <br />was deemed insignificant. Earlier papers (DeMott 1991; <br />Deshler and Reynolds 1991) have debated whether or <br />not the contact-freezing mechanism alone could ex- <br />plain ice initiation following seeding of orographic <br />clouds. These new results show that the implementa- <br />tion of more recent laboratory results, including other <br />possible modes of ice formation, does adequately de- <br />scribe ice initiation following seeding. The parcel model <br />simulations also suggested that predicted ice crystal <br />concentrations would be underestimated by a factor of <br />about 3 if one does not account for the change in the <br />aerosol generator PSD during airborne generation. As <br />a consequence of the preliminary calculations, im- <br />mersion-freezing nucleation was not considered in the <br />mesoscale model simulations, and initial ice nucleus <br />aerosol concentrations and subsequent activation were <br />calculated assuming a PSD characteristic of aircraft <br />generation conditions. <br />The seeding parameterizations were applied to 3D <br />versions of RAMS that examined the 18 December <br />1986 SCPP case. This explicit depiction of ice initiation <br />by cloud seeding aerosols represented a unique appli- <br />cation for mesoscale models. Three-dimensional sim- <br />ulations of the SCPP case study showed a profound <br />sensitivity to seeding. The model produced good <br />agreement between the simulated natural cloud pro- <br />cesses and the observed microphysical structure. The <br />seeded simulation produced large areas with ice crystal <br />concentrations exceeding 20 L - I and peak pristine ice <br />crystal concentrations of 120 L -1 , an order of mag- <br />nitude greater than the ice crystal concentrations pro- <br />duced in the nonseeded run. These simulated concen- <br />trations were similar to the observed maximum ice <br />crystal concentrations (100 L -I). Seeding also pro- <br />duced increased pristine ice crystal, aggregate, and <br />graupel mass downstream of the seeded regions in the <br /> <br />~~ <br /> <br />seeded simulation. Overall precipitation increases due <br />to seeding were 0.1-0.7 mm, similar to values inferred <br />from the observations. Precipitation enhancement in <br />the seeded simulation resulted from increased precip- <br />itation efficiency since no marked regions of precipi- <br />tation deficit occurred due to seeding. These precipi- <br />tation maxima were collocated with regions of SL W <br />that were enhanced by topographic forcing. <br />At least two factors for future development of cloud- <br />seeding parameterizations in mesoscale models were <br />identified in this study. First, it was noted that repre- <br />sentation of seeding in mesoscale models will probably <br />always be compromised to some extent by the ability <br />to resolve initial concentrations and dispersion of ice <br />nucleus aerosols. Namely, the width of the initial seed- <br />line was on a scale much smaller than the very fine <br />resolution (~x = 1 km) used in this simulation. <br />Subgrid-scale dispersion schemes are needed to address <br />this problem. The ice nucleation schemes used are also <br />very sensitive to small changes in the temperature and <br />humidity, so that subgrid-scale changes in these ther- <br />modynamic quantities could also be important. <br />This study has demonstrated the feasibility for using <br />laboratory results to parameterize the cloud seeding <br />response in an explicit cloud model. These simulations <br />also show promise for a priori evaluations of seeding <br />effects on different cloud types given complete descrip- <br />tions of ice nuclei behavior. Uncertainties remaining <br />from the standpoint of operational seeding are due to <br />a lack of more complete knowledge of the transient <br />adjustment of temperature and humidity (supersatu- <br />ration) following combustion, as well as, a lack of better <br />knowledge of particle sizes generated. Resolution of <br />these uncertainties appears quite feasible. <br /> <br />Acknowledgments. Thanks are extended to Drs. Da- <br />vid Rogers, Johannes Verlinde, and Robert L. Walko <br />for valuable suggestions. We also appreciate the co- <br />operation of SCPP, the WMO, and other participants <br />of the Third International Modeling Workshop who <br />provided field data and valuable insights on this case. <br />Brenda Thompson helped with the processing of <br />this manuscript. This research was supported by Na- <br />tional Science Foundation Grants A TM9118963 and <br />A TM9103748. The lead author would also like to ac- <br />knowledge the DoD Augmentation Awards for Science <br />and Engineering Research Training under Grant <br />F49620-92-J-0331 M and the Air Force Office of Sci- <br />entific Research under Grant AFOSR-91-0269 for <br />supporting his graduate research. <br /> <br />REFERENCES <br /> <br />Blumenstein, R. R., R. M. Rauber, L. O. Grant, and W. G. Finnegan, <br />1987: Application of ice nucleation kinetics in orographic clouds. <br />J. Climate App/. Meteor., 26,1363-1376. <br />Cooper, W. A., 1974: A possible mechanism for contact nucleation. <br />J. Atmos. Sci., 31, 1832-1837. <br />Cotton, W. R., M. A. Stephens, T. Nehrkorn, andG.J. Tripoli, 1982: <br />The Colorado State University three-dimensional cloudjme- <br />