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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:34:07 PM
Creation date
4/11/2008 3:44:32 PM
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Template:
Weather Modification
Title
Guidelines for Cloud Seeding to Augment Precipitation
Date
1/1/1995
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />12 <br /> <br />CLOUD SEEDING <br /> <br />all benefits generated. Others will find it difficult to identify and charge <br />for external costs associated with their operations, and it may inevitably <br />be a poor allocation of resources in either case to attempt to do so <br />(Crutchfield 1969). <br />On the national scale, the severe-to-extreme 1987-89 drought affected <br />over half of the United States and invoked agricultural and other losses <br />that reached at least $39 billion. It illustrated our vulnerability to the <br />simple lack of normal rainfall which still provokes serious disruptions in <br />water supply, agriculture, transportation, environmental quality, and <br />other sectors of the economy. This occurs "despite decades of crop breed- <br />ing, water system development, and other improvements in climate-sen- <br />sitive technologies like cloud seeding" (Reibsame et al. 1990). Seedable <br />clouds are normally sparse during a drought, so cloud seeding normally <br />is not an appropriate emergency response. However, when applied in <br />key regions over many consecutive years, successful precipitation en- <br />hancement still promises one path to reduce national as well as local <br />vulnerability, economic and otherwise, to fluctuations in natural precipi- <br />tation. <br />A global view is that successful weather modification practices could <br />substantially increase world food supply, thereby making it a good long- <br />term investment (Walkinshaw 1985). This kind of consideration includes <br />intangibles affected by cloud seeding, Le., those nonmarketed items on <br />which it is impossible to place precise monetary values. Intangibles can <br />include personal convenience (e.g., improved skiing) or inconvenience <br />(shoveling added snow), environmental benefits or liabilities, or matters <br />affecting welfare such as the food supply. <br />In all, there are no simple anSWers or alternatives in assessing costs and <br />benefits of cloud seeding. There are, instead, many gray areas of compro- <br />mise that must be acknowledged and considered (Dennis 1980). This is <br />illustrated in the following discussion, where the economics for two <br />different situations are considered: cloud seeding is applied to enhance <br />direct rainfall on crops (generally summer cloud seeding), and when <br />additional water from seeding is impounded and released in a controlled <br />manner for later use (generally winter cloud seeding). <br /> <br />2.2.1 Economic Aspects of Summer Cloud Seeding <br /> <br />A number of studies of the economic effects of summer precipitation <br />enhancement have been conducted in the United States, primarily for the <br />High Plains and the Midwest. The approaches and results reveal appro- <br />priate response variables and the levels of sophistication possible in such <br />assessments as well as fundamental differences dictated by geography. <br /> <br />2.2.1.1 High Plains. Early studies (Rudel and Myers 1973; Stroup 1973) <br />properly recognized that obtaining additional precipitation would have <br />both direct and secondary effects on farming and ranching economics. <br />When projecting changes in farm yields and revenues from added rain- <br />
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