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seasonal variations on our climate. The apparent connection with the AMO and NAO to <br />these climatic variables is frequent enough for us to take notice. <br />User Guide <br />All of the data and relationships described in this report are intended to provide a <br />preliminary insight to the various climatological basin responses to various components <br />of the hydrological cycle. All of the relationship data is presented in tabular and <br />graphical format in an attached Appendix and organized according to the structure of this <br />report. It is important for any potential reader and user of the data to recognize a few key <br />points: <br />1)The relationship between these climate indices and the predicted value is far from <br />an r-squared of 1.0. Climate prediction and the science of climate have had many <br />breakthroughs in the past decade or so but, there are still likely many <br />breakthroughs to accomplish. <br />2)Not all variables and seasons will contain usable information as the climate <br />indices have not provided enough definition of our atmospheric and oceanic <br />systems. In some instances the user may glean useful information from an <br />individual index/variable relationship or from the skillful combination of indices. <br />3)Users are recommended to visually examine the charts of some relationships <br />plotted in the accompanying Appendix, the r or r-squared in some instances may <br />be small but when ‘partitioned’ properly can be of some or increased usefulness. <br />An example of this is in the accompanying charts and figures in the body of this <br />report where the ‘yellow’ regions attempt to delineate the neutral mode of these <br />indices. In many of these defined two-dimensional relationships the values near <br />the ‘neutral’ area of an index are very scattered and other index relationships <br />should be examined. <br />4) If an HCI is outside one of these ‘zones’ it is recommended that the user consider <br />the segment that the current or expected HCI values resides in and not <br />immediately adjacent values. <br />5)In the body of this report the most relevant HCI variable that apply to given <br />variable and season are outlined. These indices should be examined first <br />however, other variables maybe examined as well. <br />Division 3 (Rio Grande Basin) <br />The Rio Grande Basin, in Colorado, is unique from a number of standpoints both <br />administratively and climatologically. A map of Division 3 and the administrative <br />boundaries of the Divisions can be found in Figure 3. The unique nature of this basin is <br />7 <br />