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Although the decline of the Western snowpack over the past few decades has been documented before, <br />yesterday's study is the most definitive in assigning the blame to human-induced climate change. <br />A team of researchers used computer models to assess what natural climate variability, sun spots, <br />volcanoes and climate change could do to the snowpack. The climate-change model best matched the <br />actual trends of the period from 1950 to 1999. <br />The chance that the model is incorrect is somewhere between 1 in 100 and 1 in 1,000. <br />Researchers have also predicted that the Southwest is likely to get less winter rainfall as a result of the <br />buildup of greenhouse gases. Because the region gets much of its water from the Colorado River -- one of <br />the rivers affected by the reduced snowpack -- the already-dry area could be losing water from both of its <br />main sources. <br />FEDERAL AGENCY QUADRUPLES WATER RELEASED INTO SAN JUAN RIVER - <br />The Bureau of Reclamation has quadrupled the amount of water that's released from Navajo Reservvoir <br />into the San Juan River, thanks to heavy snow this winter in Colorado. <br />The release will compensate for the spring melting of the Colorado snowpack to the north, which had <br />reached 160 percent of the 30-year average Sunday. <br />When that snow melts, it will become 1.3 million acre feet of water flowing into Navajo Reservoir. An <br />acre-foot is about 326,000 gallons, which can meet the annual water needs of one to two U.S. <br />households. <br />The release will increase per day by about 1,000 cubic feet per second to reach 3,000 cubic feet per <br />second by Wednesday. The bureau now releases 750 cubic feet per second fi-om Navajo Reservoir. <br />The last big snowpack occurred during the winter of 2005, but did not affect the reservoir in the same <br />way that's anticipated this year because the region was coming out of a drought and there was plenty of <br />room in the resen~oir, Page said. <br />Unless the hydrology of the San Juan Basin and the estimated inflow change dramatically, the release <br />will remain at 3,000 cubic feet per second until May, when it will increase to 5,000 cubic feet per <br />second and remain there for about a month. <br />The large spring runoff will mean a healthy supply of water for irrigators and municipal water users <br />downstream. <br />NEW PROPOSAL FOR CALIFORNIA DESALINATION PLANT -The developer behind <br />the Bajagua Project LLC, the controversial effort to boost Tijuana's lagging sewage treatment <br />infrastructure, has come up with a new proposal to build a desalination plant in Baja California. <br />The proposal from San Marcos businessman Enrique Landa has been dubbed Nevagua. It calls for the city <br />of Tijuana to use water from a Baja California desalination plant. In exchange, the Mexican government <br />would give up an equal amount of its annual slice of the water it receives from the Colorado River. <br />Instead of flowing to Mexico, that swapped water would be stored in Lake Mead, a massive reservoir east <br />of Las Vegas, where a United States-based urban water agency would tap into it. <br />~7~ <br />