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LongTermOutlookMarch2008
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LongTermOutlookMarch2008
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Last modified
10/7/2011 3:00:30 PM
Creation date
3/18/2008 12:42:00 PM
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Template:
Drought Mitigation
Title
Seasonal Outlook Through June 2008
Date
3/17/2008
Description
Joint Water Availability & Flood Task Force Meeting Presentation
Basin
Statewide
Drought Mitigation - Doc Type
Presentation
Document Relationships
ClimateUpdateMarch2008
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\DayForward
NRCSMarch2008
(Attachment)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\DayForward
NWS-AHPSMarch2008
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\DayForward
ShortTermOutlookMarch2008
(Attachment)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\DayForward
SWSIReportMarch2008
(Attachment)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\DayForward
WATFAgendaMarch2008
(Attachment)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\DayForward
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Seasonal LA NINA PRECIP (NC Mountains) <br />100100 <br />8080 <br />6060 <br />ñ <br />What about La Niain CO’s northern mountains? <br />NW-LA <br />4040 <br />PERCENTILE <br />2020 <br />00 <br />Seasonal precipitation <br />JJA SON DJF MAM <br />amounts (in percentiles <br />2007-08?! <br />10 <br />from 1950-99) for <br />La Niña cases: 1950- <br />1, 54-5, 55-6, 56-7, 64- <br />5, 70-1, 71-2, 73-4, 75- <br />6, and 88-9 <br />, based on <br />the MEI. If 8 or more <br />cases out of 10 reside <br />above or below the <br />median, the distribution <br />is shifted significantly. <br />2007-08?! <br />If 4 or more cases <br />reside in the upper <br />(80%) or lower (20%) <br />quintile, there is only a <br />10% chance that this <br />result is by accident. <br />Conversely, 0 cases in <br />DRYWET <br />the highest quintile <br />denote a significant <br />Previous La Niña record winter was in ‘56-57(?), <br />suppression of the <br />a transition winter into El Niño… <br />same odds. <br />
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