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Latest ENSO forecasts from 12 <br />numerical & 8 statistical <br />forecast models (below) vs. two <br />months ago (left). Most models <br />appear intent on easing the <br />current event towards ‘normal’ <br />without reaching it. <br />Historically, La Niña events of <br />this magnitude have had a <br />tendency to continue for another <br />year (54-57; 73-76; 98-01), <br />much more so than El Niños. <br />