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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:33:47 PM
Creation date
3/5/2008 10:45:43 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Weather Modification
Title
1994 Field Operation Plan
Date
1/1/1994
State
UT
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />Plateau top. Therefore, the plume top temperature can likely be estimated to within 1 or 2 oC even if the <br />aircraft cannot descend into the plume. <br /> <br />Each type of generator site will be tested under as wide a variety of storm conditions as nature makes <br />available during the 2-mo field program. The observed T &D of AgI seeding material and SF 6 tracer gas will <br />be related to the prevailing meteorological situation. Post-season simulations with a sophisticated numerical <br />model will be very important in understanding the complex processes involved. <br /> <br />For planning purposes it is anticipated that about 15 in-cloud aircraft missions will be attempted over the 2- <br />mo field program. Some may be only partially successful because of instrumentation problems, heavy aircraft <br />icing, severe turbulence, etc. It will be attempted to partition the aircraft mission attempts as listed below, <br />realizing that the actual "mix" achieved may be somewhat different depending upon weather opportunities <br />and other factors. <br /> <br />1. 5 missions will examine simultaneous valley releases of AgI and canyon-mouth releases of SF6. <br /> <br />2. 5 missions will examine co-released propane and SF 6 plumes from the high altitude sites. <br /> <br />3. 5 missions will examine co-released AgI and SF6 plumes from the high altitude sites. <br /> <br />Consideration was given to simultaneous valley or canyon mouth releases of AgI during high altitude releases <br />of propane and SF6. However, the risk of confusing interpretation of results was considered too great. The <br />rejected approach has the possibility of simultaneously affecting the same target region with two seeding <br />agents and/or contaminating potential control regions. <br /> <br />Further studies of the effectiveness of seeding from the 3 different types of sites will be conducted during <br />periods of darkness, or other times when low-level aircraft sampling is not safe. For example, nighttime <br />releases of AgI from the mouth of Birch Creek Canyon should be readily detectable at the RRS, provided <br />the AgI is transported over the Plateau. <br /> <br />4.3 Microphysical and Snowfall Responses to Seeding <br /> <br />A second major objective of the 1994 field effort will be to document microphysical and snowfall changes <br />caused by AgI and propane seeding. Such information is limited in the scientific literature although a few <br />recent articles have provided encouraging results. However, several additional direct detection seeding <br />experiments are needed to document the key physical processes following seeding. These experiments need <br />to be conducted under the typical range of storm conditions that affect Utah's mountains. It is especially <br />important to monitor snowfall changes at the surface under the plume of seeding material. The credibility of <br />winter orographic cloud seeding will be limited until the results of such cause-and-effect experiments are <br />documented. <br /> <br />The direct detection experiments will use seeding material releases from the HAS and AHS high-altitude <br />sites. In 1991, the plume from the HAS site crossed the upwind highway on each occasion that seeding was <br />attempted. A plume from one of the two sites is expected to pass over the target (TAR) for most wind <br />directions associated with SLW. During the 1991 field program about 75 percent of hours with SLW greater <br />than 0.06 mm were associated with Plateau top wind directions between 210-270 degrees. However, HAS <br />winds had a more southerly component so the resultant plume was found along the northern half of the <br />upwind highway. <br /> <br />High-altitude seeding usually will be with AgI if Plateau top temperatures are colder than -4 oC because <br />plume tops should be near -8 oC in such cases. According to cloud simulation laboratory studies, AgI should <br />produce significant ice crystal concentrations over the Plateau in SLW cloud colder than about -8 oC. <br /> <br />10 <br />
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