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LongTermOutlookFeb2008
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LongTermOutlookFeb2008
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Last modified
10/6/2011 4:03:34 PM
Creation date
2/21/2008 4:26:14 PM
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Template:
Drought Mitigation
Title
Forecast for next 2 weeks and Seasonal Outlook Thru Spring 2008
Date
2/20/2008
Description
Water Availability Task Force Meeting Presentation
Basin
Statewide
Drought Mitigation - Doc Type
Presentation
Document Relationships
ClimateUpdateFeb2008
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\DayForward
NRCSFeb2008
(Attachment)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\DayForward
SWSIReportFeb2008
(Attachment)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\DayForward
WATFAgendaFeb2008
(Attachment)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\DayForward
WATFMeetingSummaryFeb2008
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\DayForward
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<br />2. <br /> <br />3. <br /> <br />Summary <br /> <br />1. <br /> <br />Dry start to March? 8-14 day precipitation forecast (27 Feb-4 Mar) shows <br />increased chances for drier than normal conditions over all of Colorado. <br /> <br />La Nina continues (below normal sea surface temps in tropical Pacific) and is <br />expected to persist thru spring. Thus far this winter, we've had snowfal1 in excess <br />of La Nina-oased expectations, especially in southern Colorado. <br /> <br />In the recent past, moderate La Nina's have resulted in warmer than normal <br />springs over Colorado with near normal precipitation over most of the state. <br />NOAA's forecast from last month is for Increased likelihood of drier than normal <br />conditions. <br /> <br />Klaus Wolter's experimental forecast guidance: April-June precipitation <br />forecast indicates increased odds (+ 1 0%) of wetter than normal conditions for <br />eastern Colorado. Previous AMJ forecasts have shown skill in eastern CO <br />conditions (4 of 6 correct). Little signal over western Colorado. <br />
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