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Section 6 <br />Water Needs Assessment <br />~ <br />~ <br />~ <br />~ <br />v <br />0 <br />~ <br />~ <br />~ <br />v <br />N <br />m <br />v <br />U <br />c <br />0 <br />c <br />v <br />~ <br />v <br />a <br />Figure 6-2 indicates the implications of uncertainty in the <br />Identified Projects and Processes. To any extent that the <br />Identified Projects and Processes fail to be fully <br />implemented, demand and competition for Colorado's <br />water resources will be further increased and the need to <br />implement alternative solutions will be evident. <br />~oo~io <br />so~io <br />ao~io <br />~o~io <br />so~io <br />50% <br />40% <br />30% <br />20% <br />10% <br />0% <br />Uncertainty in Identified Projects & Processes <br />Figure 6-2 <br />Implications of Uncertainty in Identified Projects and <br />Processes on Meeting 2030 M&I and SS/ Water Needs <br />Any yield that would otherwise have come from Identified <br />Projects and Processes for M&I use might likely instead <br />be satisfied with additional permanent agricultural <br />transfers. History has shown that M&I providers will <br />indeed find a way to meet their customers' needs, and <br />agricultural water is the most readily-available source for <br />meeting those needs. As discussed earlier, agricultural <br />transfer will still require storage and infrastructure to <br />move water from its source to treatment facilities and <br />distribution systems. <br />Thus, it is possible that a failure to implement the <br />Identified Projects and Processes would result in even <br />greater impacts to irrigated agriculture and the <br />economies dependent thereon. A range of potential <br />changes to irrigated acres was shown in Figure 5-5. The <br />lower end of the range reflects the assumption that all <br />Identified Projects and Processes, including additional <br />conservation, are successfully implemented. As noted, <br />not all of the reduction in irrigated acreage would be <br />available for transfer to meet M&I needs. To illustrate the <br />possible impacts of the uncertainty of the successful <br />implementation of Identified Projects and Processes, <br />Figure 6-3 shows the additional acres of irrigated farm <br />land that might be put out of irrigated production if 25 to <br />50 percent of the Identified Projects and Processes were <br />not successfully implemented. Agricultural transfers, <br />however, are also not without risk and uncertainty due to <br />the water court process, volume of storage required, and <br />local and federal permits needed for construction of <br />necessary facilities. <br />N 300,000 <br />`w <br />o c <br />~ <br />0 ~ 250,000 <br />c Q <br />w <br />~ ~ 200,000 <br />w <br />v ~ <br />U N <br />¢ •- <br />-a ~ 150,000 <br />w ~ <br />i~ v <br />rn ~ <br />~ W 100,000 <br />o w <br />w c <br />n o <br />E '~ 50,000 <br />~ ~ <br />z -~ <br />0 <br />a` „ <br />25% 50% <br />Uncertainty in Identified Projects & Processes <br />Figure 6-3 <br />Potential Impact on Irrigated Agricultural Acres if <br />Identified Projects & Processes are Not Implemented <br />Funding and permitting remain the primary challenges in <br />implementing water management solutions in Colorado. <br />Major implementation issues associated with water use <br />in Colorado are discussed in Section 11 of this report. <br />6.3 Identified Projects and <br />Processes <br />The catalog of Identified Projects and Processes was <br />summarized by subbasin or county and is presented in <br />this section. Table 6-2 provides a summary of each <br />basin's increased M&I and SSI demands, the amount of <br />that increase provided by the Identified Projects and <br />Processes, and the general locations of the gap. <br />r~ <br />S:\REPORIIWORD PROCESSING\REPORllS6 11-8-04.DOC <br />6-9 <br />0% 25% 50% <br />