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Section 6 <br />Water Needs Assessment <br />Table 6-10 Spring Peak-Flow Recommendations for the Colorado River Near the Colorado-Utah State Line (USGS 09163500)a: <br />Number of Days per Year the Flows Should Exceed 1/2 Bankfull Discharge (Q~ =18,500 cfs) and Bankfull Discharge <br />(Qn = 35,000 cfs) <br /> <br /> <br />VVet <br /> <br />10% . - <br />~~ <br />80-100 ~ "r" <br />~ <br />30-35 <br /> <br />39,300-69,800d <br />Moderatel Wet 20% 50-65 15-18 35,000-37,500e <br />Avera e Wet 20% 30-40 6-10 ? 35,OOOf <br />Avera e D 20% 0-10 0 18,500-26,600e <br />Moderatel D 20% 0-10 0 9,970-27,3009 <br />D 10% 0 0 5,000-12,1009 <br />Lon -Term Wei hted Avera e 28-39 7.2-9.1 <br />a This table represents one possible way of achieving the long-term weighted average for sediment transport. <br />b Lower value in each range is for maintenance, higher (bold) value in each range is for improvement. <br />~ Weighted values equal days/year x expected occurrence (the sum of all weighted average values equals the long-term weighted <br />average in days/year). <br />d Instantaneous peak flows within this range have occurred in these hydrological categories since Blue Mesa Reservoir was closed. <br />These observed instantaneous peaks are desired in the future in conjunction with meeting the flow targets. No specific peak flow is <br />recommended to ensure continued variability among years. <br />e Lower number reflects the expected minimum peak flow when recommendations are met and the upper number reflects peak flows that <br />have occurred since Blue Mesa Reservoir was closed. Peak flow is expected to occur within this range, but no specific value is provided <br />to ensure variabiliiy among years. <br />f Expected peak flow when recommendations are met. Actual peak may exceed this level, ensuring continued variability among years. <br />g Range of peak flows that have occurred since Blue Mesa Reservoir was closed. Peak flows are expected to continue to fall within this <br />range when Q~ is not reached. No specific recommendation within this range is made to ensure variability among years. <br />Summer through winter base flow recommendations for <br />the Colorado River, measured at the USGS gage near <br />the Colorado Utah state line (09163500), for the different <br />hydrologic conditions are as follows: <br />^ Wet (10 percent exceedance): 3,000 to 6,000 cfs <br />^ Moderately Wet (10 to 30 percent exceedance) and <br />Average Wet (30 to 50 percent exceedance): 3,000 to <br />4,800 cfs <br />^ Average Dry (50 to 70 percent exceedance) and <br />Moderately Dry (70 to 90 percent exceedance): 2,500 <br />to 4,000 cfs <br />The Colorado River immediately upstream from the <br />confluence with the Gunnison River (15-mile reach) is <br />currently operating under a PBO that provides ESA <br />compliance for 1,000,000 AFY of existing depletions, and <br />up to 120,000 AFY of new depletions additional water <br />development in the upper subbasin in compliance with <br />the ESA, provided that sufficient progress is made <br />toward recovery of the four endangered fishes. This <br />reach of the Colorado River can be seen on Figure 6-4. <br />The PBO provides for coordinated operation of upstream <br />reservoirs to assist in meeting flow recommendations <br />made for the 15-mile reach. <br />^ Dry (90-100 percent exceedance): >_ 1,800 cfs Ultimately, flows in the lower reaches of the upper <br />The base flow period begins after spring runoff is <br />completed and continues through initiation of spring <br />runoff the following year, depending on inflow to the <br />upper Colorado River subbasin. Flows should remain <br />within the bounds specified, but the upper and lower <br />limits are not intended to be targets. The onset of the <br />base flow period will vary considerably - beginning as <br />early as late June in dry years and as late as October in <br />wet years. No specific recommendations are presented <br />for the transition between recommended peak flows and <br />the recommended base flows. <br />Colorado River will depend on the combination of <br />(1) flows provided in the Gunnison River following re- <br />operation of the Aspinall Unit, and (2) flows provided in <br />the Colorado River under the PBO. Recommendations at <br />the Colorado-Utah state line do not override <br />recommendations for the upstream reaches and <br />agreements already in place for the upper Colorado <br />River. Therefore, the actual flows at the state line gage <br />for endangered fish are the combination of the flows <br />recommended for the Gunnison (USFWS 2003) and the <br />flows recommended for the 15-mile reach (USFWS <br />r~ <br />6-36 S:\REPORIIWORD PROCESSING\REPORllS6 11-8-04.DOC <br />