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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:32:29 PM
Creation date
1/8/2008 11:54:38 AM
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Weather Modification
Sponsor Name
USBR Technical Serivce Center, River Systems & Meteorology Group
Project Name
Snow Accumulation Algorithm for the WSR-88D Radar, Version 1
Title
Snow Accumulation Algorithm for the WSR-88D Radar, Version 1
Prepared For
USBR
Prepared By
Arlin B. Super and Edmond W. Holroyd
Date
6/1/1996
State
CO
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Scientific Study
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<br />Although use of the WSR-88D with a 0.50 tilted narrow beam has reduced the range effect <br />reported by Wilson (1975), further improvement is still needed, especially beyond the 60-km <br />range. Extrapolation of radar measurements from beam altitudes to ground level using the <br />vertical profile of Ze appears to be a viable approach far significantly improving radar- <br />estimated precipitation at moderate-to-far range (Joss and Waldvogel, 1990; Joss and Lee, <br />1995). A vertical profile extrapolation scheme will be developed for a future version of the <br />snow algorithm if resources permit. <br /> <br /> <br />The R values of tables 8 and 9 are similar even though the optimization scheme was <br />separately applied to each gage in table 8, and a single Ze-S relation was used for table 9. <br />This finding is comparable to the results of Smith et a1. (1975) who noted that their similar <br />optimization scheme, "does not noticeably improve the correlation between the radar and <br />gage estimates of the hourly point rainfall amounts." Although the basic scatter of the data <br />appears to remain the same no matter what Ze-S relation is applied (within reason), the <br />optimization scheme provides an objective and effective means for estimating the "best fit" <br />a and ~ values to quantify radar-estimated snowfall. <br /> <br />The table 9 R values are similar for gages No.1 to 5 and the same for gage No.1 at the 36- <br />km range and gage No.4 at the 115-km range. The standard error of estimate values are <br />also very similar to those of table 8. These results suggest that the basic radar "signal" is <br />not significantly diminished to at least a 115-km range. This finding provides hope that a <br />method can be developed to improve WSR-88D estimates of snowfall at ranges to and beyond <br />100 km. However, a note of caution is in order. The data set used herein combined all storm <br />types for the 2-month period, including at least two major synoptic storms which produced <br />the heavier snowfalls. Results may not be as encouraging when lake effect storms are <br />considered separately in the future because such storms tend to. have shallow cloud systems <br />and light to moderate snowfall accumulations at the Cleveland gage sites. <br /> <br /> <br />The optimization scheme was applied to upwind arrays of range bins (sec. 4.2) used with gage <br />No.1 observations. The resulting a value was 354, and the ~ value was 1.25. However, <br />these results likely were contaminated by ground clutter in the operator-designated box with <br />zero suppression imposed around gage No.1, the only Cleveland gage with nearby clutter. <br />Whenever the advection scheme "moved" the upwind array a few kilometers west of the gage, <br />a region of known clutter likely increased the Z. values in some range bins. Software to <br />exclude this cluttered area has not yet been developed. However, a partial test of the <br />advection scheme was applied as follows. Equation (8) was applied to. the upwind arrays, and <br />correlation coefficients were calculated for the resulting pairs of radar- estimated snowfall and <br />gage-observed snowfall. Only gage No.2 had a slight improvement in R value (0.82) over <br />table 9. The lesser value for gage No.1 (0.68) might be explained by clutter contamination. <br />Gage No. 3's R value was almost unchanged (0.65), but the gage No.4 value of 0.56 and gage <br />No.5 value of 0.10 are well below the R values of table 9. These preliminary results do not <br />indicate any improvement at near and moderate ranges with application of the advectian <br />scheme, and indicate a'definite degrading of predictability at far ranges. This result suggests <br />that the current advection scheme, using the V AD wind profile and a fixed 1.0-m S.l fall speed <br />for all crystals, offers no advantage over simply assuming that snowflakes fall vertically and <br />using Ze measurements directly over the gages. <br /> <br />One common feature of figures 3 through 7 is the lack of a linear relationship between radar- <br />estimated and gage-observed snowfall. Of course, the predominance of data points would be <br />expected to lie above the 1:1 line for gages No.3 through 5 because of the range effect. <br /> <br />30 <br /> <br />1 <br />1 <br />
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