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<br />- -- -I <br /> <br />Experimental CDC "F orecast Guidance" <br /> <br />EXPERIMENTAL CDC PRECIPITATION FORECAST GUIDANCE '-EXPERIMENTAL CDC PRECIPITATION -FORECAST GUIDANCE <br />APR-JUN 2006 (issued March 10(2006) APR-JUN 2006 {issued April 4, 2006} <br /> <br /> <br />DRY <br /> <br />-1096 <br /> <br />-5% <br /> <br /> <br />DRY <br /> <br />-10% <br /> <br />D <br /> <br />-10% <br /> <br />D <br /> <br /> <br />-5% <br /> <br />-596 <br /> <br />- <br /> <br />- <br /> <br />+ <br /> <br />+596 <br />+10% <br />+20% <br /> <br />+ <br /> <br />+10% +2096 <br /> <br />_ ___...J <br /> <br />For APR-JUN'06, my forecast from March (left) was more favorable for AZINM than my <br />updated forecast (right), and Colorado is now more likely to face a dry spring than I anticipated <br />in March (this forecast was based on data through March only - unfortunately, the dry April is <br />I confirming last month's forecast). Given the consensus of the 'CAS' and official CPC forecasts, <br />as well as the NAG and La Nina composites, my pessimistic outlook appears justified. <br />