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Latest ENSO forecasts from 14 <br />numerical & 8 statistical <br />forecast models (below) -still <br />an amazing rangeof possible <br />outcomes compared to two <br />months ago (left). <br />We may have scaled the ‘Spring <br />Predictability Barrier’, but the <br />continued split between statistical <br />& dynamical models, as well as <br />unusual behaviorin the last two <br />fall seasons cautions against <br />banking on La Ni ñ a this fall. <br />