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The European model’s April <br />forecasts (left) kept the central <br />equatorial Pacific (Ni ñ o 3.4) in a <br />holding pattern through July (in <br />contrast to most other dynamical <br />models),but is now anticipating <br />weak-to-moderate La Ni ñ a <br />conditions by about September. <br />Interestingly, the June forecast (not <br />shown) was much more aggressive <br />than the July forecast, yielding <br />average anomalies below -1C from <br />August onwards! <br />