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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />AYRES <br />a:,SSOtC Ut1::"uIES <br /> <br />4. Estimate a replacement value for each structure. The replacement values will be <br />based on County assessor tax records. If the replacement values are not available, <br />we will commission a local real estate appraiser to estimate the replacement values <br />based on the size and average unit construction cost of the structures. <br /> <br />5. Commission a real-estate specialist to assess the condition of each structure in the <br />inventory. We will then compute depreciated replacement values for each structure, <br />following Corps guidelines. <br /> <br />6. Determine a water surface elevation-frequency function for each structure, ranging <br />from the 2-year through SOO-year events, based on the hydraulic analysis in Task <br />4. <br /> <br />7. Compute the expected value of average annual flood damage (EAD) at each <br />structure using the Corps' risk-based economic program HEC-FDA. The EA~ will <br />be computed using structure replacement value for risk assessment, and the EAD <br />will be computed using depreciated replacement value following FEMA and Corps <br />guidelines. <br /> <br />8. Compute and report the follow flood risk indices: <br /> <br />. Damage incurred at each structure for each design event. <br />. Depth of water at each structure for each design event. <br />. Long term risk of flooding for various durations. <br />. Estimate of the watershed response time for various locations in the watershed. <br />. Estimate of the egress time-time to move from a point within the floodplain to <br />a point outside the floodplain for any given event-for various locations in the <br />watershed. <br /> <br />9. Input the flood risk indices in the structure database and provide a GIS coverage <br />that includes these indices. <br /> <br />The team will determine the response (including time parameters) of rainfall in the <br />basin to flooding in order to identify critical and first impacted flooding areas along with <br />the maximum potential impact zones. This will assist in addressing suitable flood <br />preparedness, maintenance, monitoring, warning, and response actions. This analysis <br />involves the multiple applications of incremental and increasing hydrologic data in the <br />hydraulic floodplain model to reflect the performance and increasing hazard of the <br />floodplain. <br /> <br />To do so, we will: <br /> <br />10. Compute the watershed response time for areas in the floodplain for the various <br />magnitudes of flood events using the hydrologic and hydraulic models developed in <br />Tasks 3 and 4. This response time will define the maximum hydrologic warning <br />time for those areas: the time difference between when sufficient precipitation falls <br />which would result in flood damage to the time when the flood damage threshold is <br />actually exceeded. <br /> <br />11. Identify areas of greatest potential flood risk based on the risk indices. We will <br />analyze and identify high flood risk areas by ranking the structures in the database <br />by risk indices using various criteria. <br /> <br />We will develop notification materials to inform the public about the flood hazard, so <br />that citizens may consider flood insurance, individual response plans, and self-help <br /> <br />25 <br />