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Last modified
11/23/2009 12:40:37 PM
Creation date
5/18/2007 9:17:18 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Floodplain Documents
Designation Number
594
County
Jefferson
Community
Jefferson County and Incorporated Areas
Title
FIS - Jefferson County and Incorporated Areas - Vol 1
Date
6/17/2003
Prepared For
Jefferson County
Prepared By
FEMA
Floodplain - Doc Type
Current FEMA Regulatory Floodplain Information
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<br />For the regional regression analysis, 15 gaging stations located in the drainage basins of North <br />Fork South Platte River, Bear Creek, Clear Creek, Upper St. Vrain Creek, and Upper Big <br />Thompson River were selected. These stations were selected so that peak flows are not <br />significantly affected by diversions and/or regulations and lengths of record are at least <br />15 years. Among the 15 stations, the drainage areas range from 14.4 to 575 square miles and <br />the mean watershed elevations range from 8,800 to 11,140 feet. The average length of record <br />is 43 years. <br /> <br />From the recorded streamflow charts, the annual peak flows of rain floods and snowmelt <br />floods were determined for each gaging station. For each individual station, the mean, <br />standard deviation (and hence the coefficient of variation), and skew were computed from the <br />annual flood series for each type of flood event. Regressions of the means, coefficients of <br />variation, and skews on drainage areas and mean watershed elevations were then carried out <br />for the 15 stations in the region. <br /> <br />CUHP was used to estimate the 10-, 50-, and 1 DO-year flood discharges for the study reaches <br />of Mount Veroon Creek and Bear Creek Tributary No.7. The 500-year flood discharges were <br />estimated by linear extrapolation of the flood-frequency curves based on the 10-, 50-, and <br />1 DO-year discharges. A detailed description of the CUHP is given in Volume I of the "Urban <br />Storm Drainage Criteria Manual" (Reference 42). <br /> <br />Peak discharges at selected locations in the study reaches were obtained by routing the flood <br />hydrographs for each subbasin computed by the CUHP. <br /> <br />The USACE, Omaha District, completed a Flood Plain Information report on Bear Creek and <br />Mount Vernon Creek for the Town of Morrison in 1971 (Reference 51). The IOO-year <br />discharge of 27,000 cfs was estimated for Bear Creek at Morrison using a procedure called <br />"expected probability". Because discharges determined using this procedure are not accepted <br />by FEMA, no consideration was given to using this value in the study. Study of the Morrison <br />gage data resulted in a discharge of 13,500 cfs and 90 percent confidence interval between <br />7,730 and 28,300 efs for the 1 DO-year flood. <br /> <br />Because no stream gage data were available for the streams studied within the city of <br />Westminster, a rainfall-runoff analysis was conducted on the watersheds to determine the <br />flood discharges. This was accomplished by using the CUHP rainfall-runoff computer <br />program to develop the storm hydrographs (Reference 42) and the USACE HEC-l flood <br />hydrograph package computer program for the stream and reservoir routings (Reference 52). <br />For this analysis, basin characteristics that define the size, shape, and runoff characteristics of <br />the watershed, as well as rainfall amounts based on the selected recurrence intervals (obtained <br />from the NOAA Atlas of Precipitation (Reference 46)) were used to compute flood <br />hydrographs for various design points in the basin. All stream and reservoir routings were <br />accomplished using the Modified PuIs Method. <br /> <br />Since there was a lack of 500-year precipitation data, the 50D-year frequency storm runoff <br />values at each design point were calculated. The logarithmic values of the 10-, 50-, and <br />IOO-year peak discharges were fit to a regression line by method of least squares. The <br />50D-year discharges were analytically extrapolated from the regression line based upon a <br />log-normal probability relationship. For more detailed information see the final hydrologic <br />analysis report for Big Dry Creek and Tributaries prepared by Greiner Engineering Sciences, <br />Inc., January 1984. <br /> <br />29 <br />
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