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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />August (DMJM, 1975). The rainfall that occurs during these months usually has a minor <br />effect on the runoff during the period before the peak. After the snowmelt peak, rainfall <br />usually increases the runoff, but rarely causes flooding (Gingery, 1978b). <br /> <br />There have been no serious flood problems in Silverthorne since the Dillon Reservoir <br />began operating in 1963. The highest discharge has been 1800 cubic feet per second, <br />which is less than the 10-year flood. The longest flood on record prior to the construction <br />of the dam was in 1918. The combined flow of the Blue River, Ten Mile Creek, and the <br />Snake River was 3500 cubic feet per second, just upstream from the present location of <br />Silverthorne. According to U.S. Geological Survey records, high flows have been <br />recorded during May and June of several other years on all three streams. However, no <br />significant damage was reported. The largest flood in the area occurred in 1965, but <br />Silverthorne did not feel its impact due to the mitigating effects of Dillon Reservoir <br />(DMJM, 1975; USGS,. 1966). <br /> <br />Floodwaters can breach a private road to the south of Willow Creek, causing a <br />ponding effect along State Highway 9. <br /> <br />2.4 Flood Protection Measures <br /> <br />Dillon Dam regulates the discharges ofthe Blue River at Silverthorne and Reservoir <br />located approximately 0.5 mile upstream of the southern corporate limits. The reservoir <br />storage significantly reduces the peak discharges of the frequent floods. It is observed in <br />the Blue River hydrology that, for the infrequent flood events under consideration here, <br />the reduction in flood peaks due to reservoir attenuation is approximately 10 to 20 <br />percent of the peak discharge. <br /> <br />3.0 ENGINEERING METHODS <br /> <br />For the flooding sources studied in detail in the community, standard hydrologic and <br />hydraulic study methods were used to determine the flood hazard data required for this <br />study. Flood events of a magnitude which are expected to be equaled or exceeded once <br />on the average during any 10-, 50-, 100-, or 500-year period (recurrence interval) have <br />been selected as having special significance for flood plain management and for flood <br />insurance premium rates. These events, commonly termed the 10-,50-, 100-, and 500- <br />year floods, have a 10,. 2, 1, and 0.2 percent chance, respectively, of being equaled or <br />exceeded during any year. Although the recurrence interval represents the long-term <br />average period between floods of a specific magnitude, rare floods could occur at short <br />intervals or even within the same year. The risk of experiencing a rare flood increases <br />when periods greater than 1 year are considered. For example, the risk of having a flood <br />which equals or exceeds the 100-year flood (I percent chance of annual occurrence) in <br />any 50-year period is approximately 40 percent (4 in 10), and, for any 90-year period, the <br />risk increases to approximately 60 percent (6 in 10). The analyses reported here reflect <br />flooding potentials based on conditions existing in the community at the time of <br />completion of this study. Maps and flood elevations will be amended periodically to <br />reflect future changes. <br /> <br />3.1 Hydrologic Analyses <br />