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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:29:05 PM
Creation date
2/27/2007 9:01:05 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Weather Modification
Applicant
Arlin B. Super and James A. Heimbach Jr.
Sponsor Name
Colorado Water Conservation Board and US Bureau of Reclamation
Project Name
Literature Review/Scientific Study
Title
Feasibility of Snowpack Enhancement from Colorado Winter Mountain Clouds: Emphasis on Supercooled Liquid Water and Seeding with Silver Iodide and Propane
Prepared For
Coloado Water Conservatoin Board
Prepared By
USBR
Date
9/30/2005
State
CO
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Scientific Study
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<br />immediately to the lee of barrier crests, and descent may even begin just upwind of the crest, with <br />the result that the air mass warms, causing the tiny SL W cloud droplets to rapidly evaporate <br />downwind of crestlines. The downwind disappearance of orographically-produced SL W is often <br />accelerated by natural conversion to snowfall. Accordingly, the best observing locations for both <br />surface icing sensors and microwave radiometers are on top of mountain crestlines rather than <br />some distance upwind. That is because SL W measured upwind of barriers may be partially or <br />totally converted to natural snowfall before the moist ascending airflow passes over crestlines. <br />Therefore, observations over upwind slopes may result in overestimates of cloud seeding <br />potential. The same is true of crestline observations but to a lesser extent. <br /> <br />The situation over generally flat-topped barriers is more complex. For example, mobile <br />microwave radiometer observations ofSLW were made over the Wasatch Plateau (Huggins <br />1995). Subsiding air motions were implied immediately downwind of the Plateau top's upwind <br />edge. But downward motions over such terrain may not be as abrupt as over more typical narrow <br />crestlines, which could provide more time for natural conversion of SL W to snowfall. Huggins <br />(ibid.) showed a decrease of SL W across the Wasatch Plateau top, thought to be due to a <br />combination of conversion to snowfall and descending airflow. But the number of cross-barrier <br />observations was limited, and additional locally-produced SL W was apparent over a minor <br />ridgeline midway across the Plateau top. Weak embedded convection may also enhance SLW. <br />These remarks are made to caution the reader that estimating seeding potential from SL W <br />observations, wherever made, is a complex and imperfect undertaking. Yet since SL W is the <br />necessary "raw material" for cloud seeding to work, improved knowledge of its spatial and <br />temporal variations is important for improving cloud seeding practices. Several published articles <br />and project reports have been reviewed and briefly summarized in Appendix A to present current <br />understanding of SL W availability over Colorado. Observations have been used from Colorado <br />where available, and also from Utah, to expand the knowledge base. As previously noted, Utah <br />measurements are believed to be reasonably representative of Colorado mountains. <br /> <br />6. Transport and Dispersion of Ground Seeding with Emphasis on <br />Valley Releases <br /> <br />As discussed in Sec. 5, wintertime SL W cloud is primarily found in the lowest few thousand <br />feet above the windward slopes and crests of mountain barriers. It was also noted that a thin layer <br />of SL W frequently exists at cloud top and sometimes near cloud base as well. Evidence for the <br />primary SL W zone was provided from a number of sources. The cloud top and cloud base zones <br />are based primarily on the work of Rauber and Grant (1986), briefly reviewed in Appendix A. A <br />conceptual portrayal of the three SLW zones is given in Fig. 13 of their paper. More recent work <br />has shown that gravity waves sometimes produce abundant SL W zones over or downwind of <br />mountain barriers. These transient zones may contain more SL W than found near windward <br />mountain slopes, but often can only be seeded by aircraft, as also true for the thin layers found at <br />cloud tops. Targeting of seeded snowfall from gravity wave-produced SL W would be difficult <br />unless a mountain barrier existed an appropriate downwind distance from the wave-produced <br />SL W zone. The facts that the presence of such SL W zones are transient, and that they shift their <br />positions with time, further complicates any attempt to seed them in a manner that produces <br />additional snowfall on a desired mountain target area. Perhaps future research will show such <br />SL W zones to be seedable under some circumstances, but such evidence does not currently exist. <br />Consequently, seeding of gravity wave SL W zones will not be considered further. <br /> <br />15 <br />
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