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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:28:59 PM
Creation date
1/15/2007 1:23:35 PM
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Template:
Weather Modification
Project Name
Journal of Weather Modification Abstract
Title
Simulations of Snowpack Augmentation in the Colorado Rocky Mountains
Prepared For
Weather Modification Association
Prepared By
William Cotton, Colorado State University
Date
5/1/2006
State
CO
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Scientific Study
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<br />60 <br /> <br />JOURNAL OF WEATHER MODIFICA nON <br /> <br />Volume 38 <br /> <br />Natural ice activation is simulated using a gener- <br />alization of the Meyers et a1. (1992) formula: <br /> <br />Ni= NIFNexp[12.96(SI- 1)]; <br />T<-5C,' r >r. <br />v S1 <br /> <br />supersaturation with respect to ice, and <br /> <br />T<-2C', r >r <br />v 1W <br /> <br />supersaturation with respect to water. <br /> <br />The variable Nu''N is a forecast variable in RAMS <br />which can vary both vertically and horizontally <br />whenever such data are available. Nonnally we use <br />measurements in field campaigns with the CSU con- <br />tinuous flow diffusion chamber to infer NIFN. In the <br /> <br />'I <br /> <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />I I I I <br /> <br /> <br />:! <br /> <br />_ AJt101IUlW .,.,..nIt.u. ,,,',n.,.. <br />- .. 2lIIfII. ..... <br />...........t .. __ nw ,.at'" <br />== .. c-.. '.71 <br />:.... .. .Ut ..,... <br />.. ..,., ..... <br />u...tIIt ..n <br />== ...........,.,. <br />.= ............. 0 <br /> <br />_ PIit II <br /> <br />l. 20IItIlIr ..... <br />.141 IIIW'" ...... ,.. <br />1-11014f u 1-7JlIIft <br />'"t~f3 ,",n-n <br /> <br />IN n.QlIf g <br /> <br />_1U~ UIWT 0 <br /> <br />absence of those measurements NU'N is based on the <br />estimates reported in Meyers et al. (1992) and al- <br />lowed to drop off in concentration with height consis- <br />tent with observed lapse in large aerosol concentra- <br />tions. Recent measurements at the Storm Peak Labo- <br />ratory. in the Park Range of Colorado by DeMott <br />(personal communication) suggest that IFN concen- <br />trations are probably lower than Meyers original es- <br />timates. However, sensitivity experiments using these <br />lower background IFN values did not change the re- <br />sults appreciably. <br /> <br />Secondary ice particle production by the rime- <br />splinter mechanism following Mossop (1976) is also <br />simulated. <br /> <br />A seeding algorithm was added into the model <br />based on sources of IFN from ground-based seeding <br />generators. Figure 2 shows the activation data that we <br />used to simulate IFN production at each generator <br />site. AgI was then added as another prognostic IFN <br />field. <br /> <br />. " . t <br /> <br />o <br /> <br />IH10 t_ __ ... 1IttIo. <br />a ... .. 1.. ., .. ..1. -- E <br /> <br /> <br />- <br />- <br />- <br /> <br />15 <br />et.oW ,.,..",.. jI('J <br />- Reviewed - <br /> <br />. . <br /> <br />!! <br /> <br />- <br />- <br /> <br /> <br />Figure 2. Calibrated AgI activity for the <br />generators used by WWC. The dashed line <br />labeled "1973 max," including the acetone- <br />induced activation enhancement at warmer <br />temperatures, is the fit used in the model. <br />Provided by Larry Hjermstad. (WWC <br />used a 4% AgI solution with sedium iodide <br />as a carrier in acetone along with 1 % moth <br />balls to improve nuclei activation between <br />-2.50C and -8.00C.) <br />
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