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<br />( <br /> <br />( <br /> <br />11 <br /> <br />continued slippage of the project, it is unlikely it will ever be <br /> <br />("'<"') <br />.-.- <br />,-.'. <br />Q forecast. <br /> <br />built. The full 55 Mw should be excluded from Colorado-Ute's <br /> <br />..- <br /> <br />The Homestake mine project has been suspended indefinitely. <br /> <br />Another project listed in Table 2 which seems dubious is <br />number 16, an unnamed new uranium mill to begin operation in 1985.21/ <br /> <br />Here again, the declining state of the uranium mining industry <br /> <br />makes a new mill very unlikely to be built. No such mill is under <br /> <br />contract--indeed, none of the projects discussed above has con- <br /> <br />tracted with Colorado-Ute for power. <br /> <br />Table 3 tabulates the reductions in Colorado-Ute's forecast <br /> <br />which can be expected due to the delays and cancellations dis- <br /> <br />cussed above. It also shows the effect of deferring Colorado-Ute's <br /> <br />planned Southwest 1 and 2 (and later) power plants by 5-6 years, <br /> <br />as discussed below in the section on coal alternatives. Delaying <br /> <br />Southwest increases loads in the 1991-94 period. <br /> <br />Note that since the projects listed in Table 3 contributed <br /> <br />virtually nothing to Colorado-Ute's 1980 peak (only AMAX existed <br />in 1980), they are not responsible for the 8.1 percent gap between <br /> <br />Colorado-Ute's 1980 forecast and actual ftemand. Removing them <br /> <br />from Colorado-Ute's forecast at the same time as the 8.1 percent <br /> <br />reduction thus does not constitute double-counting. <br /> <br />B. Colorado-Ute's Capacity Alternatives. <br />Various alternatives are available to Colorado-Ute. In <br /> <br />comparing them, both preferability and availability must be con- <br /> <br />sidered. Alternatives to Juniper-Cross Mountain such as <br /> <br />i ------._.,,_ <br /> <br />'-'<_~"'~ ,_ or, <br />----,---- <br /> <br />:........:__--=-_--=---~-~- c_'''"" _"'- ____,,__'"'".._~_ <br /> <br />--+- ,-".,,".,-,~,..-,,.- ~-. <br />