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( ( 10 affect 1991-94 demand. (A separate issue at C-b is its potential ("'.1 - 1,--. C;:l .- as a cogenerator, discussed below.) The ARCO CO2 project, in southeast Colorado, was expected to start up in January 1982, operating at an 80 percent load factor.181 Absent any information to the contrary, no delays are assumed. The Hansen uranium mine and mill project was forecasted to start up in 1982.191 The uranium industry in the United States has shrunk rapidly in the last yea4with further decreases in output expected in 1982. Existing mills and mines have closed or reduced operations. The United States nuclear power industry, the primary source of demand for uranium, has had many cancel la- tions but no new orders in the last several years, and no new United States power plant orders are expected in the next 5-10 years. Thus, it is unlikely that any new uranium mines or mills will be developed in the next dozen years, and the Hansen project should be removed from Colorado-Ute's demand forecast. The Shell-Mobil CO2 project was originally intended for opera- tion in 1979. The 1980 PRS shows it starting up in 1983 at an 80 percent load factor. Since publication of the PRS, however, contract negotiations over the price of ~02 ~ave collapsed, and the project is therefore stalled. Even if negotiations are renewed and successful, the project can be expected to be delayed at least one year. The AMAX molybdenum project at Mt. Emmons near Crested Butte has been bitterly opposed for years. In the fall of 1981, AMAX 201 years.-- Given local postponed the project for at least two opposition, declining world molybdenum prices, and AMAX's own