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<br />'OOlh2 <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />-5- <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />II. METEOROLOGICAL STUDIES <br /> <br />Proposal to Conduct Studies of Precipitation Frequenoy in the <br />Colorado River Basin of Colorado and Other Upper Basin States. <br /> <br />In the orderly development of expanded uses of water in the State of Colo- <br />rado and for all the surrounding. states joined together to make up the Upper <br />Division of the Colorado River System, it beoomes increasingly important that <br />careful analyses be made of all existing data which pertain to the water which <br />flows into and is diverted from the Colorado River. <br /> <br />In addition to the rather extensive streamflow data, there have been com- <br /> <br /> <br />piled during the past 70 years a rather sizeabls quantity of precipitation data. <br /> <br /> <br />These, for the most part, have lain dormant. Up to the present time the planning <br /> <br />decisions relative to expected flow of the Colorado River have been based almost <br /> <br /> <br />exclusively on streamflow information. It is a fundamental fact, however, that <br /> <br /> <br />the occurrence of preoipitation always precedes the collection of streamflow in <br /> <br /> <br />any river. This oertainly implies that a thorough understanding of the pre- <br /> <br />cipitation frequencies and their probability of occurrence should be studied in <br /> <br /> <br />order to gain a more complete understanding of what may be expected in the way <br /> <br />of subsequent streamflow in the Colorado River. <br /> <br />Generally speaking, precipitation records used to date have consisted <br /> <br /> <br />primarily of an arithmetic average of whatever period of record was available. <br /> <br />Even with the use of only elementary statistical treatment it is possible to <br /> <br /> <br />gain considerably more information from a series of precipitation records than <br /> <br />this one single (and often misleading) piece of information. <br /> <br />The following proposal of effort to be carried out on this general problem <br /> <br />is divided into three separate steps, and further is divided into what could be <br /> <br /> <br />conducted with data totally within the State of Colorado, and a somewhat further <br /> <br /> <br />expansion of this into pertinent data from the additional Upper Colorado Basin <br /> <br /> <br />States of Wyoming, New Mexico and Utah. While Arizona has some watershed areas <br /> <br />contributing to the flow of the Upper Colorado Basin, the quantities contributed <br /> <br /> <br />from this are rather negligible in an analysis of the entire flow of the Upper <br /> <br />Colorado Basin. <br /> <br />" <br /> <br />The three steps are briefly summarized as follows: <br /> <br />1. A preliminary analysis of monthly and seasonal precipitation data for <br />some Colorado stations having periods of record from 40 to 70 years, these <br />data to be analyzed by hand computations. <br />