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<br /> <br />0. <br />c":) <br />(-.") <br />-...! <br />c.., <br />N <br /> <br />SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS <br /> <br />55-year projection period. Such changes in the relative importance <br />of the various industries result in major reorientation in employ- <br />ment of the Region's labor force. <br /> <br />The level of development referred to as regional interpretation <br />of OBE-ERS projections differed from OBE-ERS projections primarily <br />in the areas of forestry, manufacturing, electric energy and minerals. <br />The increased levels of industrial output in these industries including <br />a pulp and paper industry in turn affected all other sectors of the <br />subregional economies. Thus, increased levels of total economic <br />activity for the Region resulted in population estimates of 660,000 <br />by the year 2020. Total employment was projected to increase to <br />251,200 and total personal income was projected to reach $7.6 billion, <br />by 2020. <br />I <br />Regional development levels referred to as the States' alternatives <br />at 6.5 million acre-feet of water depletions and at 8.16 million acre- <br />feet essentially represent transfers in resource utilization, primarily <br />associated with fuel-burning electric power generation, among the <br />subregions of the Upper Colorado Region. In addition, both levels of <br />development include shale oil production in Colorado, Utah and Wyoming <br />during the projection period. <br /> <br />Variations in the major measures of economic activity at alter- <br />native development levels were evaluated in the study.' No one set <br />of economic projections was expected to represent the economic environ- <br />ment of the Region 55 years hence. The projections give only an in- <br />dication of probable degrees of magnitude. <br /> <br />Changes in the relative importance of major industries at pro- <br />jected development levels would have signifioant impacts on the <br />Region's water resources. Indeed, the implications, industry by <br />industry and in the aggregate for major sectors at alternative pro- <br />jectedlevels of development, for quantity and quality aspects of the <br />Region's water supply raise questions about the desirability of the <br />projected growth. The economic analysis provided in this report does <br />not include water quantity and water quality constraints, if any, to <br />the Region's economic g~owth. <br /> <br />iv <br />