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<br />N <br />(lO <br />..... <br />00 <br /> <br />range of reductions in salinity, and second, it would delineate <br />how much of these costs are to be expended in each river sub- <br />system. In other words, the evaluation of the optimal strategy <br />at level 4 involves systematic comparisons of level 3 cost- <br />effectiveness functions and once the strategy had been deter- <br />mined, it also yields the optimal costs or expenditures in each <br />level 3 alternative (river subsystem). In a similar vein, the <br />level 2 costs and policies are determined from a knowledge of <br />the level 3 optimal as determined during the level 4 analysis, <br />and so on. Thus, the cost-effectiveness function for any <br />alternative .within a level is: <br /> <br />1. the result of optimization of respective cost- <br />effectiveness functions at a lower level and <br />therefore a minimum cost relationship at every <br />point; and <br />2. the sum of costs from optimal investments into each <br />alternative at a lower leveL The "policy space" <br />is therefore a delineation of lower level cost- <br />effectiveness function. <br /> <br />The preceding paragraphs noted the detailing of salinity <br />control strategy once the optimal is known. Determining the <br />basin optimal, on the other hand, begins at level 1. A com- <br />parison of level 1 cost-effectiveness functions describing <br />each alternative at that level produces the array of level 2 <br />functions. Similar steps yield each succeeding level's <br />optimal program. Thus, the multilevel approach described herein <br />involves a vertical integration up through the levels to deter- <br />mine the optimal policy and a backwards trace to delineate its <br />components. <br /> <br />Mathematical Salinity Control Model <br /> <br />Consider a <br />basin such that <br />written: <br /> <br />single salinity control measure within a sub- <br />its cost-effectiveness characteristic can be <br /> <br />y! = f (x!) <br />~ ~ <br /> <br />.. .. . . .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . . .. . .. .. .. .. .. . ... . .. .. .. .. .. . .. . .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (32) <br /> <br />in which, <br /> <br />y! <br />~ <br />x! <br />~ <br /> <br />= total cost attributable to the ith control measure <br />at the first level of optimization; and <br />= annual salt loading decrease associated with an <br />expenditure of yi dollars on the ith salinity control <br />measure. <br /> <br />Superscripts will refer to model level whereas subscripts will <br />designate alternatives. It is assumed that the relationship <br />between yl and xl can be determined and that the total potential <br />reduction in salt loading for the ith measure at level 1 is X!. <br />~ <br /> <br />20 <br /> <br />