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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />,. <br />II <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />, I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />oa223~ <br /> <br />The High Plains Study Council adopted the design recommenda- <br />tions in its Plan of Study as follows: <br />"If the region is forced back to dryland farming, this will <br />have significant economic and social implications on both the <br />region and the nation. The initial questions to be examined <br />by this assessment are: <br />(a) What economic and social impacts will a decline in <br />agricultural production have on the economic and social <br />structure of the region? <br />(b) What will be the impact of a decline in agricultural <br />production on the related industries? <br />(c) How sensitive are the impacts detailed in the answers <br />to questions (a) and (b) to the rate of transition from <br />irrigated to dryland farming? <br />"These studies are to be completed in time for use both by <br />the General Contractor in preparing the alternative policy <br />scenarios and by the state groups in evaluating the implica- <br />tions of policy alternatives." <br />Results of the farm-level research by the six States in pro- <br />jecting agricultural production in the High Plains are in some ways <br />quite surprising in that they do not show a "rapid decline" in <br />irrigated agriculture. Rather, they show a gradual increase in <br />total crop production from a mixed dryland-irrigation economy for <br />the entire period of 40 years under the baseline and two water <br />"demand management" strategies, even without water supply augmen- <br /> <br />1-3 <br /> <br />Arthur D Little.lnc <br />