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<br />farmers to return irrigated land to dryland farming or fallow <br />in the coming decades.... <br />"A decline in irrigated agriculture will jeopardize farm <br />suppliers dependent upon purchases for irrigated farms and <br />have negative effects on the feedlots and meat processors <br />located within the area.... <br />"The vi abi 1 ity of hundreds of sma 11 towns and, indeed, the <br />entire economic and social base of the area will be threatened <br />by rapid decline in irrigated agriculture." <br />Research by the States has been conducted under other Study <br />Elements to project farm production, costs of production, and <br />prices (Element A-l) and related agri-business and regional eco- <br />nomic activities (Element A-3), assuming various optional pOlicy <br />strategies and related programs that might deal with a declining <br />ground water supply~ These projections apply advanced modeling <br />......' . <br /> <br />techniques in an effort to simulate farm production decisions and <br />related off-farm economic effects under alternative assumptions <br />over a span of time from 1980 to 2020. However, the Study Design <br />foresaw need for other kinds of evaluations in addition to the <br />States' research: "...when in-depth evaluations of the social and <br />economic implications of converting from irrigated to dryland <br />farming are warranted, these evaluations are to be done by the <br />dryland farming assessment [Element B-9] groups," i.e.. by the <br />association of General Contractors responsible for carrying out <br />the entire study. <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />- <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />. <br />. <br /> <br />Arthur D uule.lnc <br /> <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />1-2 <br />