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<br />opportunities, hence characteristic of dryland agriculture in the <br />High Plains. A second approach was an assessment of recent trends <br />in counties before their experiencing significant declines in <br />irrigation and after such declines. Both approaches proposed <br />drawing only upon available secondary data sources for all indi- <br />cators and measurements and the comparative analysis. No primary <br />field work was proposed. <br />Neither approach was found to be workable on closer examina- <br />tion of data on the study area counties. The "with-and-without" <br />approach to irrigated v. nonirrigated agricultural development was <br />found wanting for two reasons. First, no county, area or group of <br />counties which would meet the comparison criteria could be iden- <br />tified of sufficient size for meaningful impact analysis. Second, <br />and more important, no adjacent or nearby counties or areas could <br />be identified of sufficient similarity except for availability or <br />lack of irrigation water for a precise isolation of the impacts of <br />that difference only. There were contiguous areas to be found, of <br />course, with and without groundwater, but always there were enough <br />other differences with pronounced influences on economic/social/ <br />demographic health and welfare to significantly cloud the impacts <br />of irrigated crop production only. These differences included <br />soil quality, terrain characteristics, natural precipitation, oil <br />and gas production, and prior development factors. A few reason- <br />ably similar areas were identified (except for water), but they <br />were so small that secondary data were unavailable, ; .e., below <br />county level, hence comparative measurement was impractical. <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />. <br />- <br /> <br />Arthur D IJttle Inc <br /> <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />I II-2 <br />