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<br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />II-15 <br /> <br /> Projected kW <br /> Salable Capacity Actual kW Percent Actual <br />FY (FY 1977 PRS) Salable Capacity Exceeded Projected <br />1978 1,237,000 1,359,900 9.9% <br />1979 1,285,000 1,371,500 6.7% <br />1980 1,305,000 1,391,800 6.7% <br />1981 1,303,000 1,407,900 8.1% <br />Total 5,130,000 5,531,100 7.8% <br /> <br />/ <br /> <br />As a further note, if Western continues to use lower quartile capacity <br /> <br />projections, then they should use an average of the lower quartiles, not a <br /> <br />curve through the low points. If, for example, a 5-year moving average is used <br /> <br />to smooth the lower quartile projections for the summer season, approximately <br /> <br />40-50 additional megawatts would be available for sale each year after about FY <br /> <br />1995 (before then, it would be between 15 MW and 40 MW). <br /> <br />As noted, to arrive at the amount of salable capacity available, an <br /> <br />amount of capacity associated with CUP is added. This amounts to around 126 MW <br /> <br />in the summer and 129 MW in the winter. The basis of these additions, begin- <br /> <br />ning in FY 1990, is the estimated capacity of the Diamond Fork power plants <br /> <br />(133.5 MW) and the Jordanelle power plant (10.4 MW). <br /> <br />Water depletions, discussed in more detail as a separate issue, also <br /> <br />impact salable capacity. If more water is available for generation, then more <br /> <br />salable capacity would be available than is reflected in Western 's PRS. Any <br /> <br />understatement of the amount of expected capacity and energy available for sale <br /> <br />would result in less expected revenues from those sales and, therefore, higher <br /> <br />cur rent rates. <br />