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<br />~ <br />~ <br />~ <br />~ <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />USBR's CRSS model based on the alternative degrees of water use <br /> <br />assumed in the Upper Region. <br /> <br />It should be noted that Alternatives II and III depict the same rate <br /> <br />of EET development even though the resultant impacts are different. <br /> <br /> <br />The main reason for this is the different levels of water depletions <br /> <br />in the Upper Region from other than EET uses. As a result of these <br />different reference levels of non-EET water depletion, different <br /> <br />water supplies occur downstream. This change in supply causes the <br /> <br />model to fill reservoirs differently, which, in turn, causes short- <br /> <br />ages and surpluses to be declared at different times. This adds to <br />the difference in the water suppl ies, especially below Hoover Dam <br /> <br />with a resultant difference in effects caused by the two different <br /> <br />alternatives. <br /> <br />Economic Impacts <br /> <br />Economic impacts stem from reductions in water supply and from <br /> <br />increases in salinity. The projections in table 1 show that on the <br /> <br />average all Lower Region users would receive less water as a result <br /> <br />of EET development in the Upper Region. However, due to legally <br /> <br />mandated allocation criteria and inherent flexibility in the system, <br />no downstream user would receive less than his legal entitlement. <br /> <br />Since the CAP (Central Arizona Project) has the junior right and <br /> <br />would incur the majority of the reduction in supply, only impacts <br /> <br />from reduced supply to CAP were analyzed. <br /> <br />13 <br />