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<br />scientist. Dr. Duncan Patten has <br />been hired as the GCES Senior <br />OPERATIONAL PLAN FOR COLORADO RIVER Scientist, and he is now in the <br />S b 1989 process of developing a coordinated <br />October 1988 to eptem er and integrated GCES Phase II <br />research plan. <br /> <br />In its most simplistic form, the <br />Integrated Research Plan will serve <br />as the road map to guide the <br />development and completion of the <br />GeES Phase II research. It is not an <br />end onto itself, but instead <br />identifies the critical components <br />and linkages of the Grand Oanyon <br />, ecosystem and the operations of <br />Glen Oanyon Dam. It is different <br />from the GeES Phase I approach <br />because we are attempting to start <br />with a research/integration plan <br />up-front, and avoid many of the <br />consolidation problems that we <br />found at the report writing stage. <br /> <br />If an integrated research plan is so <br />important, why don't more bureaus <br />Jul AU9 Sep and agencies do it? AJJ with many <br />I government study efforts, we are <br />o/1;en confronted with a problem <br />that needs to be solved and <br />answered quickly. This does not <br />always fit into the academic way of <br />identifying, addressing, and <br />analyzing a problem. Planning <br />complex ecological problems <br />requires more than just computing <br />the number of cubic yards of <br />concrete needed to build a dam. It <br />requires a thorough understanding <br />of the ecological components and <br />their spatial and temporal <br />relationships. Unfortl1llately, while <br />we know the importance of <br />integrated research, l'arely does <br />tinting allow us to complete it. <br /> <br />Dr. Patten, GCES researchers, and <br />several NAB committee members <br />recently completed a trip through <br />the Grand Canyon. Theohjectives of <br />that trip was to educate everyone to <br />the research that had been <br />completed under GOES Phase I, <br />and to develop the scientific <br />understanding for the integrated <br />research plan. The immediate goal <br />of that effort is to develop a <br />framework for the integrated plan <br />that includes the major components <br />and linkages that define the Grand <br />Oanyon/Oolorado River ecosystem. <br />The goal is to tie the GeES scientific <br /> <br /> <br />RELEASES (1000 AC-FEET) <br />1000 <br /> <br />800 <br /> <br />600 <br /> <br />400 <br /> <br />200 <br /> <br />o <br />Oct Nov Dee Jan Feb Mar Apr May J.un <br />I 1988 I 1989 <br /> <br />Hydrology Update for <br />Glen Canyon Dam <br /> <br />During water year 1989, the actual <br />inflow to Lake Powell is expected to <br />be about 6.0 million acre feet (maO, <br />60 percent of normal. AJJ a result, <br />l'elease8 wel'e limited to 8.23 maf, <br />the minimum allowed under the <br />Operating Criteria. The maximum <br />elevation ofthe lake this spring was <br />3,678.64 feet, about 21 feet from <br />full. Releases the remainder of this <br />summer will be 910,000 acre feet <br />(aO in August, and 800,000 af in <br />September. <br /> <br />111e most probable inflow next year <br />is expected to be below average due <br />to the dry condition of the basin. <br />111is will result in another 8.23 maf <br />release during water year 1990. <br />Since most of the upstream <br />reservoirs will be refilled next year, <br />this will further reduce the inflow to <br />Lake Powell. The peak elevation for <br />Lake Powell during water year 1990 <br />is expected to be about 3,676 feet. <br />The monthly release pattern is <br /> <br />2 <br /> <br />Fig.m!1 <br /> <br />expected to be similar to that of <br />1989 as shown in Figure 1 above. <br /> <br />The GCES Integrated <br />Research Plan <br /> <br />The last several meetings of the <br />GCES Technical Teams have <br />focused on the importance of <br />developing an Integrated Reseat'Ch <br />Plan for the GCES Phase II efforts. <br />Now that we have moved i11to the <br />GCES Phase II, what is the <br />Integrated Research Platl? <br /> <br />First, a little history. The original <br />GCES effort involved the <br />identification 8l1d study of selected <br />Colorado River corridor resources <br />in the Grat1d Canyon. The National <br />Academy of Sciences (NAS) <br />recognized in their review of the <br />GCES program that we lacked a <br />consistent and integrated plan, and <br />strongly recommended that to avoid <br />the problem of unconsolidated <br />research in the future that we spend <br />the time up front to develop a <br />consolidated atld coordinated plan <br />under the direction of a senior level <br />