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<br />-17 <br /> <br />I~ <br /> <br />~;...-.;,;;,' <br />4~-o.;1: <br /> <br />002938 <br /> <br />The detailed analysis of housing and the other major timber product <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />~2~~~/ <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />t~:~i~~~ <br /> <br />I <br />Ij <br /> <br />t:;<.{"~ <br /> <br /> <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />!$?~i <br /> <br /> <br />I <br />~~~{ <br /> <br /> <br />markets was used to develop national projections of timbe, demands. <br /> <br />These national projections were allocated to regions and subregions <br /> <br />on the basis of the amount of commercial forest land in each area and <br /> <br />its inherent capacity to grow crops of timber. <br /> <br />The projections of timber demands have two basic ~es in.river <br /> <br />basin planning. First, they show the physical limitations on the resource, <br /> <br />and provide a useful guide to OBE in the preparation of projections of <br /> <br />employment and income in timber-based industries. Second, when compared <br /> <br />with projections of timber supplies they indicate prospective timber <br /> <br />supply and price problems and the general size of forestry programs <br /> <br />needed to meet supply and price goals. <br /> <br />Although they do not appear in the OBERS report, the Forest Service <br /> <br />has prepared projections of timber supply for use by Forest Service <br /> <br />representatives on river basin planning groups. A comparison of the <br /> <br />demand and supply projections indicates in all regions and nearly all <br /> <br />subregions that timber supplies will not be large enough to_.meet the pro- <br /> <br />jected demands, and the associated projections of employment and income <br /> <br />in the timber based industries, shown in the OBERS report. This means <br /> <br />that timber product prices will rise, and will act to.reduce demand .and <br /> <br />economic activity in the timber-based industries below the projected <br /> <br />levels unless forest management is intensified. Thus, if the OBERS proj- <br /> <br />ections of industrial growth in the timber-based. industries are accepted <br /> <br />as a desirable regional economic goal, it will be necessary to plan for <br /> <br />forestry programs which will increase timber supplies in line with <br /> <br />projected demands. <br /> <br />:{?f::~~ <br />~j~:;/~~: <br />. ',' ~"'.: <br /> <br />;;'/~-;i:_ <br />~-.'.'.- ,. . <br />-;-':::_' ~ - <br />...0,;;":""'" <br /> <br /> <br />1~'ll&~~~&l~~~.~~~1;;~I~~~il~~'!~l~f~ii <br />