WSP08945

• File Number: 8030
• Description: Section D General Compact Issues - US Water Resources Council
• State: CO
• Basin: Statewide
• Date: 12/1/1971
• Author: US Water Resources C
• Title: Summary - Obers Review Meetings - Held July 1971 - RE-Economic Activity in the US by Water Resources Region and Subarea-Historic and Projected-1929-2020
• Water Supply Pro - Doc Type: Report/Study

002922

Agricultural and Land Use Projections--Concepts and Objectives 1/

It has been my pleasure and privilege to be associated with the OBERS

program since it was initiated in 1964. The close aSsociation with the

Water Resources Council since its creation has also been rewarding. At

the same time, there have been substantial frustrations in attempting to

deal effectively with a complex problem with so many variables. Substantial

progress has been made since 1964, but much remains to be accomplished. Use

of projections in planning and evaluation is perhaps the most notable case

in point. Meetings such as this must be considered as a.primary source of

ideas for future progress.

Our thoughts concerning the~ricultural and land use projections in

the review report are influenced by many thoughtful comments we have

received, by a desire to make needed adjustments, and by the WRC outlook

for future updating of the OBERS projections--at approximately 5-year inter-

val...

Much of the staff effort over the past few months reflects a concern

to provide materials that do not require adjustment for an extended period of

time.

Appropriate application of the baseline concept of economic projections

in the planning process and the prospect for generating alternative projections

should lessen the need for frequent modifications in the OBERS baselineprojec-

tions.

But this 'does not diininishour desire to achieve useful, high-quality

projections.

In line with theSe thoughts, these regional meetings are

regarded as an eSsential element of the projection process.

The written comments to the Council on the report.have been viewed as

a basic foundation for the,meeting.

We have also received numerous informal

Y Prepared by
Economics Division,
on the review draft

William A. Green, As..istant Director, Natural Resource
ERS, for presentation at the series of regional conferences
of the OBERS projections report, July 1971.

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