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<br />!\I, ,~!fl3Zt <br />,)1'..;1 v <br /> <br />DROUGHT AND ITS RAMIFICATIONS <br /> <br />The average deficiency for 1974-77 is close to <br />twice the rates of the previous droughts listed <br />above, and the total deficiency of 29.49 in. is <br />81 percent of that from 1927-34 and 70 per- <br />cent of that from 1958-66; yet it developed in <br />just 3 years rather than in 7 or 8 years. <br /> <br />DROUGHT AND ITS RAMIFICATIONS <br /> <br />Numerous definitions of drought have been <br />proposed and used by prominent individuals and <br />organizations, yet only the very generalized <br />definitions have much of a relation to the <br />drought of 1976-77. A precise definition is not <br />practical because a drought is the result of <br />many complex factors acting on and inter- <br />acting with the environment. <br />Among the natural factors are the climate <br />of an area; the antecedent conditions as exem- <br />plified by the amounts of soil moisture, rain, <br />and snow; the distribution of rain and snow in <br />time and space; water-table levels during the <br />drought; water quality; and soil types. <br />Human factors include the degree of devel- <br />opment of water storage and distribution sys- <br />tems; the number, locations, and depths of <br />wells; the patterns of water use and per capita <br />consumption; the legal aspects relating to <br />property rights, project operating rules, water- <br />quali ty standards, and service contracts; eco- <br />nomic considerations; and many more. <br />Therefore, a definition of a drought must <br />be ta ilored to the conditions in an area at a <br />given time. Even so, the result is a general <br />definition. A drought may be defined as a <br />condition where and when the water supply is <br />deficient enough and for a long enough time to <br />damage the growth of vegetation, industrial <br />production, or domestic activities (J. S. Crag- <br />wall, Jr., written commun., 1977). Nace and <br />Pluhowski (1965) mention the concept that a <br />drought occurs wherever there is less water <br />than the amount to which people have become <br />accustomed. [Emphasis by writer.] <br />The World Meteorological Organization has <br />defined six types of drought as follows (Subrah- <br />manyam, 1967): <br /> <br />1. Meteorologic drought-<:lefined only in <br />terms of precipitation deficiencies in abso- <br />lute amounts, for specific durations. <br />2. Cli matological drought-<:lefined in terms <br />of pl'ecipitation deficiencies, not in spe- <br /> <br />5 <br /> <br />cific quantities but as a I'atio to mean or <br />normal values. <br />3. Atmospheric drought-<:lefinitions involve <br />not only precipitation, but possibly temper- <br />ature, humidity, or wind speed. <br />4. Agricultural drought-<:lefinitions involve <br />principally the soil moisture and plant be- <br />ha viol', perhaps for a specific crop. <br />5. Hydrologic drought-<:lefined in tel'ms of <br />reduction of stream flows, reduction in lake <br />or I'eservoir storage, and lowering of <br />ground-watel' levels. <br />6. Water-management drought-this classifi- <br />cation is included to characterize water <br />deficiencies that may exist because of the <br />failul'e of water-management practices or <br />facilities such as integrated water-supply <br />systems and surface or subsurface storage <br />to bridge over normal or abnormal dry <br />periods and equalize the water supply <br />through the year. <br /> <br />Each type is rather restrictive and by <br />definition describes only one part of a complex <br />whole. <br />Also, the kinds of drought enumerated by <br />the Wodd Meteorological Organization may <br />OCCUI' sequentially, or ovel'lap, or be combined <br />in several ways. For example: A small <br />amount of precipitation, a meteorological <br />drought, over a long enough period will become <br />a climatological drought as the precipitation <br />will be a small pel'centage of normal. In turn, <br />streamflow and storage in reservoirs and under- <br />ground will be reduced to create a hydrologic <br />drought which brings on problems of distribu- <br />tion and use which is a water-management <br />drought. <br />In humid regions where rainfall normally <br />occurs frequently during the growing season, a <br />drought effect on nonirrigated agriculture can <br />be achieved after only a few days of hot, dry <br />weather. J. C. Hoyt (1938, p. 2) stated: <br /> <br />In general, however, in humid and semi- <br />arid states there are no serious drought <br />effects unless the annual precipitation <br />is as low as 85 percent of the mean; <br />tha t is, unless there is an annual defi- <br />ciency of 15 percent or more. <br /> <br />Hoyt also mentioned that the above cri- <br />terion has shortcomings because it does not <br />considel' the effects of temperature and the <br />