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<br />4 <br /> <br />t ';f . " <br /> <br />HYDROLOGIC AND HUMAN ASPECTS OF THE 1976-77 DROUGHT <br /> <br />95 mi south of Oklahoma City, Okla., for the <br />15-year period 1958-72 was only 70 percent of <br />that for the ll-year period 1930-40. The im- <br />proved farming practices and other factors re- <br />duced the impact on the public so that the <br />more recent droughts received less notoriety, <br />but losses still ran into billions of dollars. <br />The drought of 1942-56 in the southwestern <br />United States is documented in a series of <br />Geological Survey Professional Papers, Nos. <br />372A through 372G, by Gatewood or Thomas <br />and other co-authors. The effects of this <br />drought in an arid area fluctuated during the <br />period at many localities, but it was severe <br />enough that 282 counties in three states, main- <br />ly in Texas, plus all of Arizona and New Mex- <br />ico and most of Utah were declared disaster <br />areas. <br />Nace and Pluhowski (1965) reported that <br />the rare occurrence of a succession of <br />drought-producing meteorologic events during <br />1952-56 caused critical water deficiencies in <br />much of the southern half of the nation. The <br />accumulated precipitation deficiencies during <br />the 5-year drought period, expressed in per- <br />centage of the average precipitation for 1 <br />year, ranged from 25 to 225 percent. Low- <br />flow frequency data for eastern Kansas indi- <br />cate that the drought had a recurrence inter- <br />val of more than 50 years. Statistical studies <br />of long-term precipitation records for the <br />southern Great Plains indicate that drought of <br />equivalent severity has a recurrence interval <br />of about 140 years in parts of the area. <br />Ground-water levels declined steadily in much <br />of the Midcontinent, and levels were reduced <br />by tens of feet in some places. The decline in <br />water supplies caused considerable financial <br />loss and many personal hardships. <br />The 1961-67 drought in the Northeast was <br />the longest and most severe in the history of <br />the region, and it affected human activities <br />mainly by its impact on water resources re- <br />lated to agriculture and water supplies (Barks- <br />dale and others, 1966). The Water Resources <br />Council (1966) estimated that in the Northeast <br />a drought of this duration occurs, on the ave- <br />rage, once in about 160 years. Though drought <br />conditions eased at different times in different <br />parts of the Northeast, the drought was not <br />over until the spring of 1967. <br />At least four of the six definitions of <br />droughts suggested by the World Meteorologi- <br />cal Organization (see p. 5 ) are applicable to <br /> <br />each of the droughts briefly described above. <br />Meteorologically, absolute amounts of precipi- <br />tation were deficient for specific durations. <br />Climatologically, precipitation, expressed as <br />percentages of normal values, was significant- <br />ly less than 100 percent. Atmospheric condi- <br />tions, namely wind, relative humidity, and <br />temperature, were contributing factors in <br />causing the Dust Bowl. Agriculturally, soil <br />moisture was reduced or depleted and the <br />growth of vegetation and crops was hindered. <br />Hydrologically, stream flows and ground-water <br />levels were low and storage in lakes and reser- <br />voirs was reduced. In some areas, water- <br />management practices had not progressed <br />enough to provide integrated water-supply sys- <br />te ms and surface or subsurface storage to <br />equalize the water supply seasonally or from <br />year to year. <br />The reader must remember that construc- <br />tion equipment used to build surface struc- <br />tures, well-drilling equipment and methods, <br />and pumps were not as advanced 40 or 50 years <br />ago as they are today. Hence, water manage- <br />ment's ability to deliver water or develop <br />ground-water supplies during the earlier <br />droughts should not be judged solely by today's <br />standards. Also, farm practices have im- <br />proved, and hardier corn, wheat, and other <br />crops have been developed since the 1930's; <br />therefore, better production can be achieved <br />now under drought conditions. All these de- <br />velopments and improvements make it easier <br />to adapt to a drought now. Therefore, the per- <br />ceived severity of a drought also depends on <br />how well adaptations work. <br />In the context of a meteorological drought <br />and using the seasonal (July 1 to June 30) <br />precipitation at San Francisco, Calif., as an <br />example, there have been four periods prior to <br />1976 when precipitation was below average for <br />several years in succession. These periods are <br />tabulated below along with the average defic- <br />iency per season and the total deficiency, as <br />well as similar data for the period 1974-77. <br /> <br />Number Deficiency Total <br />of (inches deficiency <br />years per year) (inches) <br /> <br />7 3.74 26.20 <br />7 5.18 36.25 <br />4 5.04 20.14 <br />8 5.25 42.03 <br />3 9.83 29.49 <br /> <br />Period <br /> <br />1897-1904 <br />1927-1934 <br />1946-1950 <br />1958-1966 <br />1974-1977 <br />