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Leonard Rice Engineers, Inc <br />LOWER ARKANSAS VALLEY <br />WATER CONSERVANCY DISTRICT <br />Is it risky for LAVWCD to absorb the “ups and downs?” <br />Because dry-year replacement requirements are generally lower <br />than wet years, <br />and because some parcels generate accretions to the river in some <br />years---meaning they have no replacement requirement that year, <br />And because we recommend replacement supply storage targets <br />greater than the average requirement, <br />It is our opinion that the risk to LAVWCD is reasonable. <br />Maximum year supply requirement for both plans <br />(Above + Below): about 1,500 af <br />(preliminary estimate)