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MEMORANDUM <br />December 13, 2013 <br />Issues with Selecting an Appropriate Crop Growth Stage Coefficient for the SCS Mod. Blaney <br />Page 18 of 34 <br /> <br />For orchards without cover, it appears that the SCS relied upon the average of the “deciduous orchard” <br />and walnut data. The data from ARS 1275 showed a strong correlation (R <br />curve as shown in Chart 15. The data suggests an average ele <br /> <br />Figure 18 - kc vs. month for <br /> <br /> <br />Implications and Further Research: <br />The level of probability, or the confidence level, can be best represented by the R <br />regression analysis. When it was shown that there was a strong correlation, i <br />presented in ARS 1275 were used in the development of the SCS TR <br />the data, which result in a lower correlation coefficient, could be du <br />temperature data used in this study, or in the interpretation of <br />the SCS TR-21 data, or from other data <br />plotted points” indicating that they were not mathematically interpolated. <br />were made in the smooth curves so that for a number of locations the sum of the computed monthly <br />values…would approximate the…values developed from the original <br />explain some variability. Furthermore, Woodward indicates that the values were adjusted so that the sum <br />of monthly values would equal the previously calculated seasonal amounts developed for the original <br />Blaney-Criddle equation. This may explain why some crop curves like sorghum, wheat, and small grains <br />(Barley) track below the ARS 1275 data set. <br />to the ARS 1275 data, and may have been adjusted upward to fit <br />true for sugar beets and corn as there is no other clear explanation. <br /> <br />The SCS TR-21 curve for pasture grasses appears to better describe lawn grass at or near sea level. <br />Alfalfa and orchard without cover appear to re <br />appears to represent the high-end of the data set during peak use and at or near the average of the data <br />set during the winter months. Dry beans were the only crop where a rational explanation coul <br />provided. <br /> <br />Based upon the work performed in this study, <br />considered when performing calculations of consumptive use with the SCS m <br />equation. Further research and analysis should be performed to validate the appropriateness of specific <br />crop growth stage coefficients when quantifying the historical consumptive use in a change of use <br />analysis. For example, is it appropriate to use the SCS TR <br />when they are based upon data for “deciduous fruit,” citrus, and walnuts in California and Arizona? The <br />0.0 <br />0.2 <br />0.4 <br />0.6 <br />0.8 <br />1.0 <br />1.2 <br />0 2 <br />Issues with Selecting an Appropriate Crop Growth Stage Coefficient for the SCS Mod. Blaney-Criddle Eqn. <br />orchards without cover, it appears that the SCS relied upon the average of the “deciduous orchard” <br />and walnut data. The data from ARS 1275 showed a strong correlation (R2=0.991) to the SCS TR <br />The data suggests an average elevation of 441 feet above sea level. <br />vs. month for Orchards without cover <br />Implications and Further Research: <br />The level of probability, or the confidence level, can be best represented by the R2 term in the linear <br />When it was shown that there was a strong correlation, it is probable that the data <br />used in the development of the SCS TR-21 coefficient curves <br />the data, which result in a lower correlation coefficient, could be due to assumptions in the mean monthly <br />, or in the interpretation of monthly crop growth stage coefficient <br />, or from other data. Woodward indicated that “smoothed curves were drawn thru <br />” indicating that they were not mathematically interpolated. In addition, “minor adjustments <br />o that for a number of locations the sum of the computed monthly <br />values developed from the original Blaney-Criddle equation <br />Furthermore, Woodward indicates that the values were adjusted so that the sum <br />of monthly values would equal the previously calculated seasonal amounts developed for the original <br />equation. This may explain why some crop curves like sorghum, wheat, and small grains <br />track below the ARS 1275 data set. The crop curve for small vegetables had a strong correlation <br />to the ARS 1275 data, and may have been adjusted upward to fit a seasonal amount. The same may be <br />true for sugar beets and corn as there is no other clear explanation. <br />21 curve for pasture grasses appears to better describe lawn grass at or near sea level. <br />Alfalfa and orchard without cover appear to represent the average of ARS 1275 data. Orchard with cover <br />end of the data set during peak use and at or near the average of the data <br />set during the winter months. Dry beans were the only crop where a rational explanation coul <br />work performed in this study, it is recommended that the information <br />considered when performing calculations of consumptive use with the SCS modified Blaney <br />Further research and analysis should be performed to validate the appropriateness of specific <br />crop growth stage coefficients when quantifying the historical consumptive use in a change of use <br />analysis. For example, is it appropriate to use the SCS TR-21 crop coefficients for orchards in Colorado <br />when they are based upon data for “deciduous fruit,” citrus, and walnuts in California and Arizona? The <br />4 6 8 10 <br />Deciduous Fruit <br />Walnuts, Davis <br />Walnuts, Southern Area <br />SCS TR-21 Orchard, no cover <br />AVG -No Cover <br />Criddle Eqn. <br />orchards without cover, it appears that the SCS relied upon the average of the “deciduous orchard” <br />=0.991) to the SCS TR-21 <br />vation of 441 feet above sea level. <br /> <br />term in the linear <br />t is probable that the data <br />curves. Disparity in <br />the mean monthly <br />monthly crop growth stage coefficients from <br />smoothed curves were drawn thru <br />minor adjustments <br />o that for a number of locations the sum of the computed monthly <br />Criddle equation,” which may <br />Furthermore, Woodward indicates that the values were adjusted so that the sum <br />of monthly values would equal the previously calculated seasonal amounts developed for the original <br />equation. This may explain why some crop curves like sorghum, wheat, and small grains <br />The crop curve for small vegetables had a strong correlation <br />a seasonal amount. The same may be <br />21 curve for pasture grasses appears to better describe lawn grass at or near sea level. <br />present the average of ARS 1275 data. Orchard with cover <br />end of the data set during peak use and at or near the average of the data <br />set during the winter months. Dry beans were the only crop where a rational explanation couldn’t be <br />information in Table 15 be <br />odified Blaney-Criddle <br />Further research and analysis should be performed to validate the appropriateness of specific <br />crop growth stage coefficients when quantifying the historical consumptive use in a change of use <br />rop coefficients for orchards in Colorado <br />when they are based upon data for “deciduous fruit,” citrus, and walnuts in California and Arizona? The <br />12