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17,000 <br />46,000 <br />15.000 <br />13,000 <br />42,000 <br />11,000 <br />10,000 <br />9,000 <br />8,000 <br />LL 7,000 <br />6,000 <br />5,000 <br />4,000 <br />3,000 <br />2,000 <br />1,000 <br />If <br />NO BREACH OUTFLOW HYDROGRAPHS <br />FROM EACH CONTRIBUTING BASIN <br />AND COMBINED FLOWS <br />12 <br />— West Fork of Litt Thompson River, Meadow Dam Basin <br />— Little Thompson River Basin Upstream oFUS 36 <br />— West Fork of Little Thompson River9asin, Meadow Lake to US 36 <br />— Little Thompson River, US 36 to North Fork <br />— North Fork Basin <br />Rowell Gulch Basin <br />— Little Thompson River. Total outflow Near X Bar? Subdivision <br />L9 , , . , , , , 1� <br />Sep2013 <br />Figure 21—No Breach model outflow hydrographs for each contributing basin and combined total outflow <br />(corresponds to model data shown in Table 10). <br />11.2 Dam Breach Model Results <br />Once parameters for the no- breach model were calibrated to produce reasonable results relative <br />to estimated flows at the calibration cross - sections, the model was run with the same rainfall and <br />runoff scenarios, but with dams set to breach at their established failure times. Table 11 shows <br />results of that model run. <br />Table 11— Dam Failure Model Results <br />Comparison of Table 11 information depicting the timing of the failures, with the information in <br />Table 10 showing the timing of the peak discharges from each basin and cross - section of interest <br />reveals that only Sunset dam failed approximately 3.5 hours after the peak discharge from the <br />basin. This relationship of dam failure to peak inflow is also shown below in Figure 22. The Sunset <br />dam failure occurred on the falling limb of the inflow hydrograph between periods of intense rain. <br />Due to the size of the contributing basin (14.92 sq mi) and overwhelming volume of the inflow, the <br />Report of the September 2013 Little Thompson River Flooding COLORADO <br />and Big Elk Meadows Dam Failures, June 2014 (Revised, Dec 2014) * Division of Water Resources <br />Page 31 of 48 b pirr ent or r.alurar $esroixre: <br />DAM SAFETY BRANCH <br />Time of Dam <br />Inflow at Time <br />Time of Dam Failure <br />Peak outflow due <br />Increase in flow <br />Dam <br />Failure <br />of Failure (cfs) <br />Peak outflow <br />to Failure (cfs) <br />due to failure (cfs) <br />(MDT) <br />Sunset <br />9/12/13, 7:40 AM <br />2,132 <br />9/12/13, 8:00 AM <br />2,535 <br />403 <br />Rainbow <br />9/12/13, 12:25 PM <br />2,282 <br />9/12/13, 12:45 PM <br />3,790 <br />1,508 <br />Willow <br />9/12/13, 12:05 PM <br />2,374 <br />9/12/13, 12:25 PM <br />3,151 <br />777 <br />Mirror <br />9/13/13, 2:00 AM <br />1,224 <br />9/13/13, 2:20 AM <br />1,706 <br />482 <br />Meadow <br />9/12/13, 1:40 PM <br />2,444 <br />9/12/13, 2:00 PM <br />4,419 <br />1,975 <br />Comparison of Table 11 information depicting the timing of the failures, with the information in <br />Table 10 showing the timing of the peak discharges from each basin and cross - section of interest <br />reveals that only Sunset dam failed approximately 3.5 hours after the peak discharge from the <br />basin. This relationship of dam failure to peak inflow is also shown below in Figure 22. The Sunset <br />dam failure occurred on the falling limb of the inflow hydrograph between periods of intense rain. <br />Due to the size of the contributing basin (14.92 sq mi) and overwhelming volume of the inflow, the <br />Report of the September 2013 Little Thompson River Flooding COLORADO <br />and Big Elk Meadows Dam Failures, June 2014 (Revised, Dec 2014) * Division of Water Resources <br />Page 31 of 48 b pirr ent or r.alurar $esroixre: <br />DAM SAFETY BRANCH <br />