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Descriptors for Qualitative Risk <br />Characterization. A consistent set of <br />descriptors are developed for the risk <br />characterization based on a combination of those <br />used for hazard, exposure, and consequence. The <br />descriptors for the risk characterization are <br />used to compare the relative risks of the <br />failure modes. <br />Table 4 presents the basis for the final <br />description of the risk characterization. The <br />risk characterization is determined by <br />considering the contributions from the hazard, <br />exposure and consequence assessments. Consider <br />the first row in Table 4: if the hazard is <br />negligible to high, leading to a negligible to <br />very low exposure, resulting in a negligible <br />consequence, then the risk associated with such <br />a failure mode will be negligible. A site <br />specific example of such a failure mode is <br />cyanide usage in the mill: the hazard is high <br />because of the concentrated form of the cyanide, <br />however, due to the precautions used in the <br />mill, as well as the potential limited volume of <br />release and long release pathway, the potential <br />exposure of the aquatic ecosystem due to the <br />presence of cyanide in the mill is negligible. <br />Because exposure is negligible, the consequences <br />are negligible. The overall risk <br />characterization for cyanide release from the <br />mill is, therefore, negligible. <br />A review of Table 4 shows that although the <br />descriptor used for hazard assessment varies <br />over a wide range, those for the exposure and <br />consequence assessments vary over a narrower <br />range. For example, in the first row: for a <br />risk to be characterized as negligible the <br />consequence must be negligible, and the exposure <br />could be negligible to very low. However, the <br />hazard can be negligible to high because the <br />potential, magnitude and duration of release, as <br />well as release pathway can reduce the high <br />hazard in a negligible to very low exposure. <br />DISCUSSION OF RESULTS <br />The qualitative risk assessment for the <br />example project considered 36 individual failure <br />modes. These 36 failure modes were a subset of <br />the potential release mechanisms identified in <br />Table 1. All failure modes were evaluated as <br />the two examples shown in Appendix A. It was <br />concluded that of the 36 failure modes the <br />following may result in higher risks: <br />• sediment releases during construction and <br />operations in the Mine Area; <br />• ARD releases during operations, <br />reclamation and closure in the Mine Area; <br />and, <br />• tailings release from the three tailings <br />impoundments during operations. <br />These failure mechanisms also consist of more <br />complex systems and have higher uncertainties <br />associated with the respective parameters <br />controlling the potential failures and releases. <br />For example, ARD can only be discharged during <br />operations if failures occur in the <br />interception, containment of runoff, and the <br />subsequent treatment and discharge of the water. <br />This system of controls is complex and contains <br />many parameters that can impact the reliability <br />of clean water discharge. <br />This risk assessment was performed to decide <br />if the project design was successful in reducing <br />risks, and to determine if residual or <br />unacceptable risks exist. It was concluded from <br />2Area: <br />Phase: <br />System /activity: <br />Failure mode: <br />QUALITATIVE ENVIRONMENTAL RISK ASSESSMENT FOR MINE DEVELOPMENT 29 <br />the results of this study that the risk <br />associated with a majority of the failure modes <br />could be characterized as negligible. The <br />highest risks were characterized as very low to <br />low and this is the case for only 10 percent of <br />the failure modes. The risk assessment <br />determined that the management and control <br />systems built into the design could be <br />successful in reducing risks when implemented at <br />the proposed mine project. <br />CONCLUSIONS <br />Qualitative risk assessment can be used to <br />evaluate the environmental impacts of a project. <br />It can be used to document the evaluation and <br />decision - making process, express the relative <br />risk and select those failure modes or release <br />mechanisms which pose the biggest risk. <br />A four step process is proposed. Five <br />descriptors are used to describe the relative <br />level of hazard, exposure, consequence and risk. <br />Development of these descriptors is a major part <br />of a qualitative risk assessment. They must be <br />developed on a site specific basis. <br />The application of qualitative environmental <br />risk assessment is demonstrated for the proposed <br />development of a mine in an environmentally <br />sensitive setting. It can be concluded that: <br />• a qualitative environmental risk <br />assessment can be successfully applied to <br />mining projects; <br />• site - specific descriptors can be developed <br />to describe the relative hazards, <br />exposures, consequences and finally risk; <br />and, <br />• failure mechanisms posing the highest <br />risks can be selected for possible <br />quantitative risk assessments. <br />REFERENCES <br />Kaplan, S., and B.J. Garrick (1981) On the <br />quantitative definition of risk, Risk <br />Analysis, Vol. 1, No. 1, pp 11 -27. <br />Smith, D.A. (1987). Mining America, The <br />Industry and the Environment, 1800 -1980. <br />University Press of Kansas, 210 pp. <br />Van Zyl, D. (1987) Health risk assessment and <br />geotechnical perspective. In Geotechnical <br />Practice for Waste Disposal. Richard D. <br />Woods (Ed.) ASCE, pp 812 -831. <br />APPENDIX A <br />EXAMPLE QUALITATIVE RISK ASSESSMENTS <br />FOR TWO INDIVIDUAL FAILURE SCENARIOS <br />A.1 Failure Scenario 1 <br />MINE <br />Construction <br />Construction of onsite <br />facilities <br />Sediment release to local <br />drainages <br />Hazard Assessment <br />a. Hazard Description and Qualitative <br />Assessment <br />Hazards are sediment and possibly heavy <br />metals. Only small surface areas will be <br />exposed during construction. It is <br />expected that at most 2,0000 of sediment <br />can be released. Based on Table 2 this <br />