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August 1999 <br />t: \99\2057\?057f n.xls <br />• <br />• <br />TABLE 1 <br />N <br />Footnotes to Table 1: Risk Assessment Components: <br />Potential Failure Mechanisms: All identified potential mechanisms are included, regardless of likelihood of occurrence Hazard Assessment: An assessment of "what can happen ?" ranked according to risk to the environment (see Table 2) <br />Exposure Assessment: Assessment of the likelihood and extent of any exposure. <br />Consequence Assessment: An evaluation of the consequence of any exposure, regardless of how likely it is. <br />Risk Characterization: An evaluation of the overall risk to the environment of the identified failure mechanism, based on the evaluation of hazard, exposure and consequence. <br />2 of 5 <br />Golder Associates <br />RISK ASSESSMENT SUMMARY ^\ <br />Wells: <br />Poor Cement Bond <br />Corrosion/Leakage of Cemented <br />Casing <br />Pipelines: <br />Rupture of Pipeline <br />1) Poor cementing work leads to upward <br />solutioning of brine along casing <br />Subsidence - Negligible Hazard <br />Groundwater - Negligible to High Hazard <br />Soil - Negligible <br />Surface Water - Negligible <br />2) Heat damages a good cement seal leading to loss <br />of gas control and upward solutioning of brine <br />along casing bond <br />Subsidence - Negligible Hazard <br />Groundwater - Negligible to High Hazard <br />Soil - Negligible <br />Surface Water - Negligible <br />1) Hot fluids lead to corrosion casing failure <br />Subsidence - Negligible Hazard <br />Groundwater - Negligible to High Hazard <br />Soil - Negligible <br />Surface Water - Negligible <br />1) Rupture of pipeline due to equipment traffic, <br />extreme storm events or vandalism <br />Subsidence - Negligible Hazard <br />Groundwater - Negligible (alluvial well) <br />Soil - Medium to high Hazard <br />Surface Water - Negligible <br />Initiating events and likelihood: Negligible likelihood - while poor construction practices are possible the initial <br />well testing and fluid pad volume monitoring would identify potential problems prior to failure <br />Magnitude of exposure: Negligible because of real time fluid pad volume monitoring <br />Duration of exposure: Negligible because of real time fluid pad volume monitoring <br />Pathways: High risk due to direct pathway to aquifers <br />Environment at risk: B Groove aquifer <br />Initiating events and likelihood: Negligible likelihood - Any damage to the cement bond leading to potential <br />leakage would first be detected in the volume monitoring of the fluid pad. Separation of high temperatures from <br />cemented casing by use of dual hanging string. <br />Magnitude of exposure: Negligible because of real time fluid pad volume monitoring <br />Duration of exposure: Negligible because of real time fluid pad volume monitoring <br />Pathways: High risk due to direct pathway to aquifers { <br />Environment at risk: B Groove aquifer <br />Initiating events and likelihood: Very low likelihood - Double casing and cemented wellbore provide additional <br />barrier to fluid loss. Any corrosion and loss of containment would first be detected in the pressure monitoring of the <br />pad fluid. <br />Magnitude of exposure: Negligible because of real time gas pressure monitoring <br />Duration of exposure: Negligible because of real time gas pressure monitoring <br />Pathways: High risk due to direct pathway to aquifers <br />Environment at risk: B Groove aquifer <br />Initiating events and likelihood: Very low likelihood, the pipeline will be Sch. 80 steel pipe which required <br />substantial force for rupture. <br />Magnitude of exposure: Medium due to rapid recognition of the pipe rupture allowing system shut down. The <br />pipeline will be placed in a bermed corridor that drains to a lined collection pond. Conservative assumptions for <br />leakage volume 20 mins. 400 gpm results in a maximum of 8,000 gallon spill. <br />Duration of exposure: Medium due to rapid recognition of the pipe rupture allowing system shut down. Most of the <br />length of the pipeline will be monitored by camera, and the system will have automated warning sirens when there is <br />a flow difference between the wells and plant. <br />Pathways: very low risk due to drainage control and collection, rapid precipitation of approximately 70 percent of <br />the sodium bicarbonate as the solution cools, and local soil uptake of the moisture minimizing runoff. <br />Environment at risk: Topsoil will be removed and stockpiled in a safe location for reclamation outside the bermed <br />pipeline corridor. The only environment at risk is the foundation material along the pipeline. <br />Negligible consequence due to negligible likelihood magnitude ant <br />exposure <br />duration of <br />Negligible consequence due to negligible magnitude and duration of exposure <br />Negligible consequence due to negligible magnitude. Duration of <br />mining fluids are double - walled contained. <br />exposure and <br />Very low consequences due to very low risk pathways for exposur . Also the <br />environment at risk is within the industrial disturbance area. <br />Negligible risk due to negligible probability of occurrence and <br />negligible magnitude and duration of potential releases to the <br />environment <br />Negligible risk due to negligible probability of occurrence and <br />negligible magnitude and duration of potential releases to the <br />environment <br />Negligible risk due to negligible magnitude and duration of <br />potential releases to the environment <br />Very low risk due to the industrial nature (topsoil removal and <br />storage in safe location) of the environment at risk, and very <br />low magnitude and duration of potential releases to the <br />environment thereby minimizing potential for exposure. <br />Likewise the pathway for exposure is within a bermed area <br />Recommended Mitigation: Emergency Spill Response Plan; <br />Employee Training Program; Warning Signs and Barriers; <br />Well Defined Action Levels for Agency Reporting and <br />Remediation; Employee Environmental Protection Incentive <br />Program <br />993 -2057 <br />