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West Elk Mine <br />Predicted Subsidence Related Phenomena and Material Damage Which Would Occur as a <br />Result of Subsidence - 205.6 (6)(b)(1)(B&C) <br />Predicted subsidence impacts for the mining area have been described in detail in the following section <br />entitled "Subsidence Prediction" 2.05.6 (6)(e)(i). Given the magnitude of the subsidence projected in the <br />above referenced section, the following outlines the material damage which could result as a consequence of <br />the projected subsidence. Structures in the permit area are described in Section 2.05.6 (6)(a)(i & ii). The <br />discussions in Section 2.05-6(6)(e)(ii)(A-C) and Section 2.05.6(6)(f)(iv)(A-D) include the "worst possible <br />consequence" to these structures, as well as mitigation commitments. There are no buildings located in the <br />Apache Rocks and Box Canyon mining areas and one building in the South of Divide area. One building and <br />a water diversion flume for the Deep Creek Ditch are located within the Dry Fork mining area. <br />Thirteen stock ponds were located in or near the Apache Rocks mining area and only one stock <br />pond in the Box Canyon area. There are 24 stock ponds within the South of Divide mining area. <br />The stock pond embankments are not expected to be impacted, however, the ponds will be <br />monitored and any subsidence impacts mitigated by MCC per the USFS agreement letter in Exhibit <br />19C. <br />The most significant surface impacts are expected to occur along the precipitous slopes and cliffs <br />immediately north of the Minnesota Reservoir and in those areas within the influence of longwall <br />mining where the overburden thickness is less than 400 feet. The areas with overburden less than <br />400 feet include approximately 30 acres along the western reaches of Longwall Panels E2-E5. <br />Accounting for this small area, the minimum overburden thickness above mining in the South of <br />Divide permit revision area is 375 feet. In all of these areas, the most severe hydrologic scenarios <br />are as follows: <br />As discussed in Section 2.05.6, Maximum Depth of Surface Cracks, development of cracks as <br />much as 100 feet deep above the chain and barrier pillars could divert intermittent surface <br />and/or spring flow into the more impermeable rocks in the overburden. The probability of such <br />surface cracks occurring is very small. For example, based upon MCC mining of longwall <br />panels to date, only a few surface cracks have been observed that are considered to be solely <br />related to B Seam mining. As discussed later, there are many "healing" and "sealing" <br />mechanisms that act to close surface cracks. In the event that a surface crack opens and stays <br />open, surface and spring flows that encounter relatively permeable zones in the overburden will <br />move downgradient and likely reemerge as springs with subsequent discharge into the Dry Fork. <br />WWE and Mr. Dunr ud have determined that there is virtually no potential for a surface crack in <br />the permit area to be deep enough to connect with a mine fracture zone. In the extremely <br />unlikely scenario in which this occurs, however, the implications would be minor. If this <br />scenario were to happen in the Dry Fork basin, surface and/or spring flows could be discharged <br />into the mine workings. Waters collected within the mine workings would be treated, if <br />necessary, to comply with the National Pollution Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) <br />permit requirements and pumped through a drill hole back into the Dry Fork basin. Losses <br />within the mine would be minor - ie: less than 5 percent of total inflows. The magnitude of <br />replacement water provided by MCC in the Dry Fork/Minnesota Creek basin is orders of <br />magnitude more than will be required, based upon the subsidence evaluation conducted by <br />WWE with Mr. Dunrud. <br />2.05-117 Rev. 06105- PRIO, 03106- PRIO, 05106- PRIG, 11/060- 772107, 04107- 7RI08, 09107- PR12, 02/08- PR12, 11/10- TR124