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01/31/2003 17:09 2799186 DOTY & ASSOCIATES PAGE 04 <br />Mr. Christopher C. LaRue <br />Page 4 <br />January 28, 2003 Doty & Associates <br />yield. It is generally accepted (e.g., Kruseman and de Ridder, 1991) that a <br />delayed yield response consists of three phases: <br />a. an early period before delayed yield effects are measurable and the <br />response follows a Theis prediction (perhaps as short as the first few <br />minutes of pumping); <br />b. an intermediate period dominated by drainage effects (after a few <br />minutes and extending to a few hours); and <br />c. a late period (when water levels are changing slowly) during which the <br />response again is well described by the Theis equation. <br />In addition, as drawdowns propagate away from the well in the formation, the <br />saturated thickness which is assumed constant actually decreases. This is <br />often handled by adjusting the observed drawdown in a pumping test by the <br />Jacob correction (Kruseman and de Ridder, 1981). The correction reduces the <br />observed drawdown by the drawdown squared divided by twice the original <br />saturated thickness. The correction would range from 0.02 feet for a one foot <br />drawdown to 1.14 feet for an 8 foot drawdown, which is the maximum <br />drawdown possible given the 8 foot penetration of the well. Because we are <br />developing a theoretical drawdown (the reverse of analyzing a pumping test), <br />the actual drawdown will be larger by a factor similar to the Jacob correction. <br />Thus, the effects of non-confinement are that the early and intermediate <br />drawdown predictions are unreliable and the late time predictions are likely to <br />under-estimate the actual drawdowns (however, the magnitude of the under- <br />estimation is probably no more than one foot). <br />In summary, the early and intermediate time drawdowns predicted using the Theis <br />expression are too large (because of the finite well diameter and delayed yield), the <br />predicted drawdowns for all times are too small near the well (because of partial <br />penetration), and the predicted drawdowns for all times are slightly too small (because <br />of the thinned saturated thickness). Thus, only the late time predictions (times greater <br />than a few hours) can be used and all late time predictions under-estimate the actual <br />drawdowns. The predictions for points at large distances from the well (on the order <br />of 80 feet) are likely to be only slight under-estimations. <br />Current Drawdowns in the Well <br />Recognizing that drawdowns predicted using the Theis equation are probably under- <br />estimations at points close to the well, a series of analyses were performed at a <br />distance of 2 feet from the center of the well (the edge of the 4 foot diameter well). <br />After 180 days (a late time) of pumping at 500 gallons per minute, drawdowns are <br />greater than the 8 foot saturated interval In the well (the well is dry) if the hydraulic