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SubTerra, Inc. Twentymile Coal Company 04/07/09 <br />Foidel Creek Mine <br />( Permit Revision PR09 -08 Subsidence Evaluation <br />3. Subsidence over the rigid -yield pillars separating adjacent longwall panels was <br />estimated using the data from the original Fish Creek study area (SubTerra, 1999) and <br />data gathered during mining Panels 9, 8, and 7 -Right in the Eastern mining district and <br />Panel; 19 -Right in the Northern Mining District. A comparison of the predicted and <br />actual subsidence from 12 and 13 -Right was also made using data collected when 12 <br />and then 13 -Right undermined the Energy Spur track. <br />4. The Start Room profiles for all panels were estimated using data from monitoring lines <br />1000 and 3000 in the Fish Creek study area (SubTerra, 1999). These data are <br />contained in the semi - annual reports and in prior permit submittals. <br />Subsidence predictions were made for overburden thickness of 1,100 and 1,400 ft representing the <br />range of conditions in the study area. The results of these predictions are contained in Figures 2 <br />and 3. Summary data include: <br />• Maximum subsidence of 60 and 69 inches for overburden thickness of 1,400 and 1,100 <br />ft, respectively. <br />• Up -dip and down -dip draw angles of 12 and 21 respectively, which define the limits of <br />subsidence. <br />• Maximum surface strains less than -0.004 (compression) and +0.005 (extension). <br />As noted above, TCC has developed an extensive subsidence database from monitoring lines <br />positioned to measure start, transverse, and traveling subsidence profiles. No further systematic <br />subsidence data gathering is therefore warranted under this permit. <br />I 3. Evaluation of Impacts to Routt County Road 27 <br />As shown on Drawing 3, Routt County Road 27 crosses the western half of five of the six longwall <br />panels (13L through 17L) and will therefore be subject to subsidence on five separate occasions as <br />each longwall panel passes underneath. It is estimated that Panel 17 -Left will initially subject the <br />road to up to 5 -ft of subsidence. Predicted gradient change, after the completion of the five <br />longwalls, is shown in Table 1. <br />Prior experience has indicated that strains up to 0.005 (in /in) caused cracking in the road surface <br />that required cold patching. This phenomenon is more likely to occur over the southernmost <br />panels, however may occur in sections of the road that overlay all the panels. Just over one mile <br />of road may be affected. <br />4. Evaluation of Impacts to Fish Creek and Its (AVF) <br />Fish Creek meanders northwards across its Alluvial Valley floor and passes over the Western Mining <br />District starting from a location above the sub mains adjacent to 15 -Left (Drawings 2 and 3). From the <br />sub - mains, it flows north and then south across 15 -Left, south across 14 -Left then eastwards above <br />the rigid -yield pillar pair separating 14 -Left and 13 -Left. Fish Creek eventually leaves the planned <br />mining area beyond the recovery room for 14 -Left. <br />t <br />2 PN: 2009 -04 <br />