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Chapter 3 <br />longwall panels and the associated rigid (non- <br />yielding) gateroad pillars. A similar slope change of <br />up to 1.5 percent in areas of preferential subsidence <br />may also be expected along the Dry Fork of <br />Minnesota Creek channel. <br /> <br />• <br />Surface fracturing could also occur in the alluvium <br />and underlying bedrock in the Dry Fork of <br />Minnesota Creek drainage, especially where the <br />drainage crosses longwall panel gateroads. The <br />effects of this fracturing would be similar to that <br />described for Deep Creek, except that because the <br />Dry Fork of Minnesota Creek is an intermittent <br />drainage and is a lower energy steam system, <br />fracture healing may take longer to occur. If <br />fractures develop in the Dry Fork of Minnesota <br />Creek that divert water, it could reduce the amount <br />of water delivered through the Minnesota Canal and <br />Reservoir Company system if these effects occurred <br />during the irrigation season. These impacts are <br />expected to be of limited duration while the land <br />surface reaches equilibrium after subsidence. <br />Subsidence resulting from longwall mining can be <br />expected anywhere above or within the angle of <br />draw of fully extracted longwall panels. As <br />discussed in Section 3.2.4.1, measurable subsidence <br />effects for the Dry Fork LBA are expected to <br />attenuate within 250 feet from the edge of the <br />longwall panels for shallow overburden cover <br />(greater than 1,000 feet) and within 650 feet under <br />the deepest cover (greater than 2,000 feet). <br />Anticipated magnitudes of subsidence for E Seam <br />mining are 2 to 4 feet over chain pillars and 5 to 7 <br />feet over longwall panel centers. Subsidence <br />magnitudes for both E Seam and B Seam extraction <br />are 4 feet for chain pillars and 14 feet for longwall <br />panels, respectively. The RFMP states that E and B <br />Seam extraction is limited to the northwest portion <br />of the Dry Fork tract. The maximum combined <br />height of the caved zone and fracture zone that will <br />develop during longwall panel retreat is expected to <br />extend up to 380 feet above top of the E Seam. <br />Based on the E Seam Depth of Cover Map (Agapito <br />2005, see Appendix B) and the calculated <br />maximum height, the fracture zone is not expected <br />to intercept the base of either surface water drainage <br />(475 to 875 feet below the base of the Deep Creek <br />drainage, and 550 to 875 feet below the base of Dry <br />Fork). The maximum expected surface crack depth <br />(tension crack) is 50 to 100 feet for a single seam. <br />Dry Fork Lease-By-Application FEIS <br />Affected Environment and Environmental Consequences <br />Where both E and B Seams are mined, this estimate <br />could double. In order to analyze whether the <br />combined effects of subsidence-induced fracture <br />zones over longwall panels and the development of <br />surface tension fractures within the angle of draw <br />could intercept surface water flow in the Dry Fork <br />LBA, one must combine the induced effects with <br />the depth of cover and the approximate thickness of <br />alluvium/colluvium (20 feel). Using a double seam <br />extraction assumption for the northwest corner of <br />the LBA, there would be 255 feet of separation <br />between the base of the surface tension fractures <br />(neutral surface) and the top of the fracture zone <br />below Deep Creek. <br />This analysis of potential subsidence impacts to <br />Deep Creek also draws upon experience in the <br />immediate and surrounding; areas where perennial <br />streams or intermittent/ephemeral drainages have <br />been undermined by longwall panels. Based on <br />subsidence studies and observations from the West <br />Elk Mine area made available in the Dry Fork LBA <br />Subsidence Evaluation (Agapito 2005, see <br />Appendix B), measured subsidence values in the <br />North Fork Valley are typically less than predicted <br />subsidence magnitudes. Adverse impacts on surface <br />water drainages, ponds, springs, or seeps were not <br />found in the three mines reviewed. Relevant <br />information from these observations is discussed <br />below. <br />It is the Forest Service experience that site-specific <br />conditions of each drainage, thickness of <br />overburden, amount of alluvial material present are <br />important factors to consider in evaluating <br />subsidence effects on perennial streams. Each <br />situation needs to be evaluated on a case-specific <br />basis. <br />MCC LLC-West Elk Mine <br />A longwall panel from the West Elk Mine <br />undermined and subsided a 900-foot reach of Deep <br />Creek in March 2003. This segment occurs at the <br />north end of the proposed Dry Fork tract. The <br />Forest Service analyzed subsidence in this portion <br />of Deep Creek in a 2001 EA (USDA Forest Service <br />2001 a). The EA made the following findings: <br />"Given the coal extraction height of 8 to 12 feet and <br />the 800 to 1,200 feet of overburden present, Deep <br />3-21