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DRAFT <br />over 25°. Angles of draw were predicted at 25° at two coal mines in Colorado mining in the <br />Mesaverde Group based on drillhole lithology. Later survey measurements indicated angles of <br />draw of 21 ° and 22°. <br />A 19° to 22° angle of draw is on the low end of the range of values reported for the countries <br />listed on Table 6. Angles of Draw for Coal Mining in the United States and Europe. The <br />British National Coal Board's (NCB) conservative 35° angle of draw has, however, been <br />measured in Pennsylvania (Auchmuty, 1931). The larger NCB angle of draw estimate will be <br />used because it should overestimate the area outside a longwall panel potentially affected by <br />mining. In addition, the NCB maximum subsidence value (SmaX) calculated from the flatter <br />English terrain measurements was 17% to 21 % greater than what was measured for ridge tops <br />over three longwall panels in Mesaverde Group rocks and mountainous terrain at the York <br />Canyon Mine west of Raton, New Mexico. NCB predicted subsidence in topographic lows were <br />55% greater than measured at the York Canyon Mine. This implies that the maximum tensile <br />strain, compressive strain and tilt estimated using the NCB method may be similarly greater <br />than what will be measured in the Project Area because the strains and tilt are directly <br />proportional to the maximum panel subsidence (Sm~) value. <br />5.0 TOPOGRAPHIC FACTORS AFFECTING SUBSIDENCE <br />5.1 Rugged Terrain <br />The Red Cliff Mine Project Area is located in canyon-ridge topography. As shown on Table 3, <br />overall slope angles range from 21° to 41° (38% to 87%) for canyon walls ranging from 400 feet <br />to 920 feet high. Cliff sections are present on some canyon walls where thicker sandstones <br />outcrop. Because of this rugged terrain, subsidence related surface impacts may change <br />several times as the overburden depth changes along the roughly 7,300-foot to 13,500-foot <br />lengths of the longwall panels. Subsidence, strain and tilt predictions will be less certain than <br />would be the case in more gentle and flatter terrain. For example, vertical displacement may be <br />as much as 30 percent greater over narrow ridge tops. The overburden ahead of a moving <br />longwall face will move down slope as the subsidence trough ahead of the longwall face <br />approaches but will not be able to push uphill against gravity after the face passes. If the <br />longwall panel subsequently advances under the ridge, that side of the ridge will displace down <br />slope on that side of the ridge. In the course of extracting the underlying coal, a ridge with steep <br />slopes in adjacent valleys will subside more than would be the case in flat terrain. Parts B and C <br />of Figure 9. Localized Mining Induced Slope Angle Changes indicates how this will occur. <br />The potentially additive subsidence on ridges will increase the tensile strain and the width of <br />open surface cracking. <br />Higher compression ridges, but negligible tensile fractures, are likely to occur in narrow valley <br />bottoms, because the overburden on both sides will try to move toward the bottom of the valley <br />as the subsidence trough approaches and then passes the valley bottom. Consequently <br />subsidence impacts are likely to be greater on narrow ridges and lesser in narrow valley <br />bottoms than they would be in more subdued terrain. <br />Page 20 of 57 <br />