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106 <br />MINE SUBSIDENCE <br />approaches to dealing with the uncertainty <br />inherent in the prediction of probable hydrologic <br />consequences of subsidence. Because of the lack <br />of definitive information with which to verify <br />predictive assumptions, the Division has found it <br />necessary to assume the maximum probable impacts <br />upon hydrologic parameters, in order to prudently <br />analyze the hydrologic consequences of <br />subsidence. Applicants have been required to <br />verify hydrologic consequences of subsidence <br />through combined subsidence, ground water <br />hydrologic and surface water hydrologic monitoring <br />programs. Mine plans have been configured to <br />avoid sensitive structures. Renewable resource <br />lands, such as streams, surficial aquifers, and <br />alluvial valley floors, have been protected <br />through the adoption of limited extraction <br />subsidence control plans. Fallowing the <br />collection of site-specific subsidence and <br />hydrologic monitoring data, it may be possible to <br />appropriately revise mine plan configurations or <br />increase recovery ratios. <br />Summary and Conclusion <br />1'he Colorado subsidence regulations were <br />intended to represent a practical and <br />straightforward process for the permitting of the <br />subsidence-related aspects of underground coal <br />mining. As of May 1, 1986, five years after the <br />inception of the pern~anent regulatory program, <br />thirty-seven applications have been processed. <br />Pert`ormance of the approved subsidence control <br />plans, as evidenced ty the programs limited <br />exprlrience, suggest that prediction of the <br />mechanical consequences of subsidence has been <br />sufi'iciently accurate to preclude material <br />subsidence damage. Flowever, the state-of-the-art <br />of the prediction of hydrologic consequences of <br />subsidence does not allow reliable projection of <br />the impacts of subsidence upon the ground water <br />and surface water hydrologic systems of permit and <br />adjacent areas. <br />Future research objectives should include the <br />hydrologic consequences of subsidence, in order to <br />improve the reliability of predictive technology. <br />Review and reinterpretation of past research might <br />provide valuable observations regarding the <br />hydrologic consequences of subsidence. <br />Observations concerning the hydrologic <br />consequences of subsidence at active mines should <br />be documented to contribute to advancement of the <br />state-of-the-art. <br />Table 1. Subsidence predictions and monitoring programs at Colorado mines <br />Monitoring Predictive Max. Vert. Sub. Max. Draw Angle <br />Mine Name Programs Techniques Pre ct 0 serve Pre rct~erve <br />Pc!rmitted Mines with Acceptable Worst-Possible Subsidence Consequences <br />Eastside GM NCB 2.13 m <br />ME!eker Area Mines GM, V 3.35 m <br />National King Coal V <br />Newlin Creek M, V Abel 8 Lee 0.91 m <br />Sunlight H <br />Pr!rmitted Mines with Subsidence Control Plans <br />Apex No, 2 <br />Chimney Rock (Auger•ing Plan) <br />Deserado <br />Eagle No. 5 <br />Foidel Creek <br />Golden Eagle (Maxwf!11) <br />Hawks Nest Mines <br />Mt. Gunnison No. 1 <br />New Elk (Allen) <br />North Thompson Creek <br />Orchard Valley <br />Red Canyon <br /> S Hunt 1.71 m <br />GM, V, S 0.79 m <br />GM, S NCB 7.89 m <br />GM, V, S NCB, [Obs. 110'b <br />GM, V, S Ashwin & Wilson 7.52 m <br />GM, V, S Peng 0.98 m <br />M, V <br />GM NCB, Ashwin & <br />Wilson <br />GM, V, S Peng <br />GM, V NCB <br />GM, Y, S NCB, Ashwin & <br />Wilson <br />M, S Obert 8 Duvall <br />0.79 m <br />1. Abel, J.F., jr. and Lee, F.T., 1980, <br />"Lithologic Controls on Subsidence", Soc, of <br />Mining Engineers 1982 Fall Meeting, Minneapolis <br />Minn „ Preprint Number 80-314, Oct., 16 pp. <br />2. Ashwin, D.P. and Wilson, A.H., 1972, "Research <br />Into the Determination of Pillar Size". The <br />Mining Engineer, Vol. 131, Part 9, June, pp. <br />~~~~~ <br />3. British National Coal Board (NCB), 1975, <br />"Subsidence Engineers Handbook", Production <br />De artment, London, 111 pp. <br />4, unt, .R., 1979, "Characterization of <br />Subsidence Profiles Over Room-and-Pillar Coal <br />Mines in Illinois". Proceedings of the <br />Illinois Mining Institute, S£ nr~ n~ual-Fleeting, <br />PP• ~J-6 - <br />5. Obert, L. and Duvall, W,I., 1967, "Rock i <br />Mechanics and the Design of Structures in <br />Ro~c~7~Tdi e'T~3ons, ~ o~rk,~bS pp. <br />6.~ e~ng, S.S., 1978, "Coal Mine Ground Control", <br />John Wiley 8 Sons, ew or pp. - <br />References <br />25.0° <br />16.0° <br />20.0° <br />25,0° <br />0.15 m 20.5° <br />35.0° <br />of Pred.][Obs.= Pre d. - 1°]3 <br />22,5° <br />30,0° <br />0.44 m 30,0° <br />20, 5° <br />0.12 m 30.0° <br />1.98 m 45,0° <br />1.31 m 20.5° <br />0.0 m 0.0 m 20.5° <br />