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Sm Luis Mine -Phase U, Race I Deaign Report <br />' It should also be cleazly understood that the probability of the MCE event ogcurring is very low. <br />Based on Dr. Glass' estimates of probability presented in the Permit, there is a 0.1 to 2.5 percent <br />' probability that 0.6g PGA could be experienced at the site in the nett 20 years. <br />Construction of the dam raise should include establishing survey control points along the crest of <br />the raise and existing embankment as well as various locations on the downstream face. Following <br />any lazge earthquakes in the area, these survey points should be utilized to determine if any <br />' deformation of the structure has occurred. This will provide a basis for determining the extent, if <br />any, of damage to the structure, and although unlikely, the need for remedial action. The dam <br />should also be inspected by a qualified geotechnical engineer for any signs of cracking, increased <br />seepage, and slope instability or bulging. <br />' 6.0 <br />Franklin, A.G. and Change F.K., 1977; "Permanent Displacements of Earth Embankments by <br />Newmark Sliding Block Analysis". Earthquake Resistance of Earth and Rock-Fill Dams, <br />Report 5, U.S. Army Engineering Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg, Mississippi. <br />Makdisi, F.I. and Seed, H.B., 1977; "A Simplified Procedure for Estimating 8arthquake Induced <br />' Deformations in Dams and Embankments." Report No. UCB/EERC - 77/19, Earthquake <br />Engineering Research Center, University of California, Berkeley, California. <br />' Newmark, N. M., 1965; "Effects of Earthquakes on Dams and Embankments", Geotechnique Vol. <br />5 No. 2, pp 139-160. <br />' Seed, R. and Harder, L., 1990; "SPT-Based Analysis of Cyclic Pore Pressure Generation and <br />Undrained Residual Strength", Proceedings H. Bolton Seed Memorial Symposium, M. <br />' Duncan ed., V.2, Bi-Tech Publishers, Vancouver, British Columbia. <br />' Seed, H. B, and Idriss, I.M., 1982; "Ground Motions and Soil Liquefaction During Earthquakes". <br />Earthquake Engineering Research Institute Monograph Series, Berkeley, Glifornia, 134 pgs. <br />U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, 1989; "Seismic Design and Analysis, Design Standadds -Embankment <br />Design, Chapter 13", December. <br />' July I3, 1493 13 SRK Project No. 14719 <br /> <br />